Abstract of Plenary Paper

The 1996 Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis-Europe

Mitigating Losses and Providing Protection Against Catastrophic Risks: The Role of Insurance and Other Policy Instruments. Howard Kunreuther, Wharton Risk Management and Decision Processes Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, (215) 898-4589

There is grave concern by the insurance and reinsurance industry that they cannot provide protection against catastrophic risks from natural, technological and environmental hazards without exposing themselves to the danger of insolvency or significant loss of surplus. This paper explores the role insurance can play coupled with other policy instruments, such as regulations and standards, to encourage loss reduction measures and provide financial protection against these hazards. The challenge is to find ways to make these catastrophic risks insurable. New advances in information technology and risk assessment coupled with the emergence of new financial instruments for covering large losses provide the ingredients for rethinking the way society deals with catastrophic risks. The paper proposes a program for rethinking how we manage these risks in which insurance plays a key role but which requires the involvement of other stakeholders and policy instruments. The natural hazard problem is the principal example used to illustrate these points, but the concepts have relevance to technological and environmental risks, as indicated in the concluding section of the paper.