Abstract of Lunchtime Paper

The 1996 Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis-Europe

Public Misperception of Hazard and Risk. John D. Graham, Harvard School of Public Health, Center for Risk Analysis, 718 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA 02115, USA

This article examines the extent of public misperception of hazard and risk in the U.S. population. Misperception is defined as a deviation between public assessment of hazard/risk and actuarial fact or expert opinion. A random digit dial telephone survey of 1,019 adult Americans was undertaken in November 1995. Factual questions about cancer, heart disease, traffic crashes and violence were included to test degree of knowledge. A variety of specific dangers were also addressed, including smoking, ETS, EW, global warning, ozone depletion, pesticide residues on food, medical X-rays, breast implants, and dietary fat. While previous studies emphasized the public's rich conception of risk, this survey uncovers some significant and troubling misperceptions of basic actuarial facts. Gender differences in knowledge were significant. The survey results suggest that risk perception and communication scholars should develop strategies to reduce the phenomenon of public misperception.