Abstract of Meeting Paper

The 1996 Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis-Europe

Practical Study of Toxic Gas Emergency Blowout and Dispersion. Dr. A. Yedigarov, Prof. G. Odisharia, Dr. V. Safonov (Research Institute of Natural Gases & Gas Technology), Dr. A. Shvyryaev (Lomonosov Moscow State University) 142717, Russia, Moskovskaya obl., Leninsky raion, p. Razvilka, VNIIGAS, Fax: 7-095-399-16-17

The paper presents computer study of sour gas accidental releases from wells and pipelines. The main purpose of the study was to understand risk associated with the exploration of sour gas field in Russia and predict probable hazardous zones resulting from accidental releases of sour gas in the atmosphere. Correct solution of this problem requires first of all an implication of the approved model of toxic gas dispersion. An original jet-diffusion computer model was developed for the description of the interaction between sonic or subsonic gas blowouts and atmospheric wind, turbulent mixing, and heat-mass exchange in jet flow. The proposed K - theory model assumes numerical solution of two-dimensional finite-differential equations of turbulent flow and dispersion of binary, viscous, heat conductive gas in the jet region of the flow, further transition to the Gaussian model in trace diffusion region of the flow and coinciding numerical and analytical solutions in the cross-section of the transition area. The verification of the jet-diffusion model was accomplished by comparing the results of computations to data from experimental studies on different types of jet streams: submerged jets, vertical jet in the cross wind, tilted jets, heated streams and jets of light gas. Real observations of sour gas accidental blowouts from wells were also in a good agreement with model prediction. Different scenarios of accidents were taken into consideration for risk assessment of gas field. The calculations were done for a wide range of sour gas emission rate changing, wells and pipelines diameters. The computations made it possible to determine probable hazardous zones and to estimate hazards associated with the exploration of the sour gas field.