Summary of Meeting Paper

The 1996 Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis-Europe

Nuclear Legacy of Russia: Aging of Professional Society As One of the Key Components of Risk Management. A F. Nechaev and V. V. Projaev, St. Petersburg Institute of Technology, 26, Moskovsky prospect, St. Petersburg, 198013 Russia

INTRODUCTION

The problem of nuclear legacy in Russia is, undoubtedly, the most sensitive and the most complicated one in respect of the issues involved: financing, qualified management, availability of material resources, proper planning, etc. Apart from everything else, solution of the problem strongly depends on psychological climate in public media and adequacy of human resources in professional sphere. These important aspects are the subject of present study.

RATIONALE

Radioactive contamination from the past industrial and nuclear activities is one of the most complicated and, to some extend, stiff uncertain problem not only in Russia. Photographic picture of radiation situation could be described as follows [1]:

Ural Region. From 1949 until 1951 liquid radioactive waste from nuclear weapon plant "Mayak" (South Ural, near Chelyabinsk) were pumped directly into the Techa River. The total volume of the waste pumped has been estimated to be 76 million m3 with total ß-activity around 1 · 1017 Bq. These discharges have affected 28,000 local residents and approximately 124,000 people who used water from connected rivers. After 1951, radioactive waste from "Mayak" were accumulated in special facilities and in a system of natural and constructed ponds located in a sanitary-protective zone of the plant. The total activity of radionuclides accumulated exceeds the Chernobyl release. On 29 September 1957 approximately 7.4 · 1016 Bq of fission products were released into the atmosphere as a result of waste storage facility explosion. 217 localities with 270,000 inhabitants in the Chelyabinsk, Sverdlovsk and Tyumen regions were contaminated with radionuclides. In 1967, one of the waste ponds "Mayak" was dried out, and around 2.2 · 1013 Bq of radioactive dust was dispersed by tornado-like wind. The radioactive trail covered 63 localities with 41,500 inhabitants.

Chernobyl Accident. In 1986 more than 1 · 1019 Bq of radioactive substances were released into environment from the destroyed reactor at Chernobyl NPP. Approximately 55,100 km2 of territory of Russia (Bryansk - Tula - Orel regions) were contaminated with long-lived radionuclides. Up to now 112,000 people from 247 localities live in so called zone of rigid control (with the level of 137Cs contamination > 0.6 MBq · m-2).

Polar Region. According to the information available approximately 7.6 · 1014 Bq of liquid radwaste and 8.5 · 1016 Bq of solid waste (including 16 nuclear reactors from submarines and an icebreaker "Lenin," some of which contained unloaded fuel), were dumped into the shallow waters of the Karsk Sea. A leakage of liquid radioactive waste from a spent fuel storage facility took place in the Motovsky Bay and Litza-fiord. About 130 atomic submarines with unloaded reactors are waiting for dismalting and decontamination. Up to the present, only 12 atomic submarines have been undergone the so called "procedure" (separation of forward and stem parts without core unloading).

Nuclear Explosions. In addition to the military nuclear tests at Semipalatinsk and Novaja Zemlja experimental ranges, 79 nuclear devices have been detonated for "peaceful" purposes practically in all regions of Russia. Some of these explosions are known as an accidental (e.g. "Kraton-3", "Crystal", etc.), and the real consequences of many other explosions still require special investigation.

Radiological Situation in Megapolices. From 1979 until 1992, in Moscow and St. Petersburg alone, more than 3000 - radioactive anomalies with the maximum dose rate up to a few Röntgen per hour (R · h-1) were detected.

Technologically Enhanced Radiation Background. Simple analysis shows that in some cases, the dose rates caused by the release of attendant natural radionuclides (primarily radon and radium) from enterprises of conventional industries such as oil and gas extraction, phosphate mining, etc. are comparable with those in the territories contaminated in consequence of nuclear activities. For example, at the Oil-Gas Production Association "Stavropolneftegas" the dose rates at collector pipes reach 3 mR · h-1, and the level of radiation near bore-holes range from 0.24 to 0.6 mR · h-1.

In addition to the above enumerated cases of radioactive contamination one could mention 7.0 · 1019 Bq of radwaste accumulated at nuclear facilities of Minatom, recent accident in Tomsk and Chazhma Bay, 6.7 · 1014 Bq of radionuclides, dumped in the Far East seas, etc. To mitigate the consequences of the past nuclear activities and to stabilized radiological situation at whole enormous financial, material and intellectual resources as well as the new thinking and fresh methodological approaches are required. Now this is axiomatic[2]. If so, human resources became the key precondition for successful implementation of environmental restoration programs.

Unfortunately, dramatic (3-6 times) staff reduction in design, research, educational and industrial institutions over the last five years, as a rule, took place at the expense of the most young and vigorous employees. The trivial result is that capabilities of institutions to implement "traditional" projects as well as their potential for the development of innovative approaches and technologies were reduced highly noticeable. But the most critical consequence is the loss of continuity of work and the mental contacts between generations. Such breaking-off is especially actual in Russia because the vital and moral reference-points of "kids of reforms" are far from those of mature generation. Therefore, in order to transfer technical knowledge and experience to the successors, to draw them in practical activities, to preserve the weak thread of interdependence and trust between the professionals and the rest of population, and to provide, by this way, proper basis for sustainable movement to radiologically safe environment, it is necessary to understand the youth and try to find common languages.

As a first step on this way it would be reasonably to investigate situation in the students audience, considering that this is a "critical group" of population 'in respect to the level of general education, willingness for apprehension of scientific information, prestige among inhabitants and their potential influence on the public opinion. It is important also that present students in the near future will be responsible for implementation of environmental restoration programs and sustainable development of the nation as well.

About 300 students from St. Petersburg Institute of Technology (SPIT) and St. Petersburg Medical University (SPMU) were approached with the questionnaire covering the following topics: (1) the level of concerns about environmental problems as a whole and about the Chernobyl consequences, in specific (ii) attitude to nuclear power (as an indicator of radiophobia); (iii) ranking of the risk factors; (iv) radiation-hygienic knowledge; (v) sources of radiation protection information; (vi) potential readiness of respondents to participate in decision-making process and a number of other questions.

One of the questions to be answered was "Which kind of power engineering would you prefer in the future?" The obvious aim of this question was to understand the real influence of the syndrome of "radiophobia" as heightened, explicit but purely emotional non-acceptance of everything related to nuclear and radiation activities [3]. 20,2% of respondents gave a preference to nuclear power. It would be interested to mention here that the coal, gas and oil (the main real alternatives to uranium) received 0.7%, 4.1%, and 0.35% of the votes, correspondingly. At the same time 47% (?!) supported hydropower. In other words the audience actively voted against the all known sources of harmful pollutants. However, the nuclear power plants were not included in this list.

Analysis of responses on the question about the impacts seriously affected human health, leads to the same conclusion. Indeed, students-technologists did even not mention nuclear power in the first ten of the most dangerous factors, and medical students put it on the last but one place. True, one could notes that the highest point is given to the radioactive substances in environment, food and water. However, factorial analysis of the matrix, consisting of twenty six lines with variables plus five columns with the hazard rating (ranging from 1 = "Not at all" to 5 = "Very much"), shows that radioactive substances are included in a relative large group of the factors together with chemical industry; chemical substances in environment; food and water; nuclear power and nuclear industry, air pollutions by from public transport; bad quality of drinking water, and coal industry.

The mean value of the risk of antropogenic hazards was about 3.3. Mean values of responses regarding the "radioecological" risks were slightly higher (Fig. 1). So, the attitude of the students to the nuclear/radiation issues could be summarized in the following form "Radioactivity influences human health as much as another hazardous an antropogenic pollutants."

Figure 1. Mean values of responses regarding "radioecological" risks: (a) students of radiation
specialties; (b) students-technologists of non-radiation profile, (c) medical students.

One of the question asked the respondents whether they would accept nuclear or radiation facility in their local municipality with corresponding socioeconomic compensation. Twenty-five of 130 students-technologists (19,2%) indicated that they would accept a facility at that conditions. Medical students were more restrained in their answers: only 10 from 158 (6%) accepted socioeconomic compensation as a price for the dangerous neighborhood.

However, it's unlikely that one can consider this rather cool reaction as a manifestation of radiophobia, because:

(i) risk is in part biospherical threats of harm to people and in part a product of culture and social experience. Neither in the former USSR nor in present Russia socioeconomic compensations were given for the potential or real health act from industrial or any other enterprises (excluding, maybe, tragic events in Chernobyl). In this context one could understand technologists who are looking for future job, but 6% of medical students supported nuclear facilities in their "backyards" -- this is unexpectedly high result;

(ii) it is known that there is a big difference between personal and general factors in nuclear attitude. A man who perceives nuclear power as substantially useful for the country as a whole very frequently doesn't accept any potential radiological risk in his own municipality. Therefore 35 of 288 respondents, who said they would vote for nuclear facility in immediate proximity to their homes, give no reasons for conclusion about antinuclear hysteria in this audience.

Summing up the above described it is reasonably to conclude that radioecological risk is, as a rule, perceived by the students more heightenly than "conventional" one. However this pronounced attention has no connection with the syndrome of radiophobia. In this respect situation can be assessed as rather quite and constructive. The same conclusion have been done by the authors of study, carried out in satellite city Energodar nearby Zaporozhskaja NPP (Ukraine). They have found, that during the period from 1990 to 1992 the attitude of inhabitants to NPP had become much more. calm and constructive [4,5].

In the course of this study we obtained also a number of other results required the thorough comprehension. We hope that the present inquiry and further investigation may considerably contribute in solving of an extremely important and particularly pragmatic problem development of human resources for proper management of social risk, caused by present disbalance between the scope and time-frame of environmental restoration activities and aging of professional society in Russia.

References

  1. A.F. Nechaev, V.V. Projaev, I.A. Sobolev, S.A. Dmitriev, "Conceptual Issues of Practical Radioecology. Premises and Motivations of Investigation," Ecological Chemistry, 4(3), 174-184 (1995).

  2. A.F. Nechaev, V.V. Projaev, "Modern Trends in Education of Radiochemists Technologists," Proc. Intern. Top. Meet. on Nucl. & Haz. Waste Manag. Spectrum '94, Atlanta, August 14-18, 1994, 3, pp. 1694-1699, GA, ANS, La Grange Park, IL (1994).

  3. I.A. Zykova, "Socio-Psychological Aspects of Planning and Implementation of Environmental Rehabilitation Projects at Radioactively Contaminated Territories," Proc. Conf. on Radioecological Safety of Russia, St. Petersburg, Russia, June 20-23, 1995, p.34, USCESTK, Chelyabinsk (1995).

  4. N.N. Sappa, V.A. Guschin, T.V. Likholet, "Practical Aspects of Ecological & Sociological Monitoring in the Satellite-City Nearby NPP", Book of Abstracts of 4-th Annual. Scien. & Tech. Conf. of Nucl. Soc. "Nuclear Energy and Human Safety" NE'93, Nizhny Novgorod, Russia, June 28 - July 2, 1993, 2, pp. 1313-1314.

  5. D.N. Mordovenko, D.N. Sappa, N.N. Sappa, "Acceptance of Nuclear Power by Teenagers", ibid., 2, pp. 1324-1326.