Abstract of Meeting Paper

The 1996 Annual Meeting of the Society for Risk Analysis-Europe

Critical/Double Technologies and Industrial Risk: Photon Technologies and New Risk Problems. Professor Yuri S. Protasov, Bauman Moscow State Technical University, BMSTU, 107005, Moscow, Russia

The results of analytical and experimental research, numerical simulation of advanced complex industrial risk problems determined by large scale industrial applications of photon double technologies are presented.

Industrial photon-beam technologies (using laser plasma flows, accelerators) have deal with treatment of materials (as a result of beam-matter interaction) by high density energy flows (powerful radiation in a wide spectral range, strong shock waves, high energy charged and neutral particles, in intensive EB fields) and are successfully use in industry only on E-B interdisciplinary scientific base (Quantum and Physical Electronics, Termophysics etc.).

Specify of photon techniques for new high technology applications is described. The description is given for:- the row of problems connected with technological/industrial risk,- the problem connected with industrial hygiene and local/global ecological risk.

The method of numerical simulation and possible analyzes of their modern and future solution are discussed on the example of brunch mass industry automobile industry.

The result of experimental monitoring of fields of physical - chemical parameters in industrial scale (radiation flows, cluster' dusts, thermoaqustics over loads etc.) are discussed.

The results of R & D of specific automatic data base with open multiparametric input for industrial laser technologies oriented for quantitative description and evolution modeling of risk situation in industrial scale are presented and the ways of it modification and connection with global information network are discussed.

The problems of quantitative and criteria description of industrial photon technology risk evolution and multifactor numerical simulation, optimization and prognostic for effective management are discussed.