An Outline of Industrial Risk Assessment Methods. Dr. R. Clark, BP Exploration Operating Company
Introduction
In the UK, risk assessment in industry is now required by a
number of codes of regulations made under the Health and Safety
at Work Act 1974, notably those which implement European
Directives 82/501/EEC (the 'Seveso' Directive), 89/391/EEC (the
Framework Directive) and 92/91/EEC (the Boreholes Directive).
There is an over-arching requirement to assess all risks under
the UK Management of Health and Safety at Work Regulations
1992, while more specific requirements are contained in other
regulations, such as:
Further offshore regulations which include risk assessment
will come into force in the near future.
In the context of this paper, the following definitions apply:
| Hazard | A physical situation or an action which may create the possibility of personal injury |
| Risk | The probability that a hazard may be realised |
| Risk Assessment | Any process which combines the following activities in a qualitative or quantitative manner: |
| -identification of hazards | |
| -evaluation of the associated risks | |
| -consideration of alternative control measures |
Principles for Risk Assessment
Neither the European Directives or UK Regulations prescribe
any particular process by which the employer should carry out
risk assessment, but the following general principles have been
endorsed by the UK Health and Safety Executive (1):
Sources of Risk
In broad terms, industrial risks can be considered to t>e
created by two main categories of hazard:
| Task-related: | arising from the interaction of people with plant, equipment tools and chemicals in the workplace, |
| workplace, influenced by the environment and location | |
| Process-related: | arising from the process being carried out, the physical and chemical properties of the substances |
| involved and the process conditions. |
Hazards created in the design or construction phase of a
project may lie dormant until exposed by a particular combination
of operating conditions or by an unforeseen change in operational
requirements.
Hazards can also arise from organisational factors, such as
alteration of manning levels, change of personnel, change of
reporting function, etc., where these are not adequately
controlled.
Priorities for Management of Risk
To enable health and safety to be managed adequately, all
significant hazards in the workplace must be identified. The
associated risks must then be evaluated and appropriate controls
implemented within the general framework of an integrated health
and safety management system.
It is important to ensure that the various options for
controlling risk have been evaluated. For example, the
'Framework' Directive sets out the following priorities for
control:
Employers should therefore try to remove the cause of a
hazard where practicable, rather than simply to treat the symptoms.
Substitution of hazardous chemicals, replacement of machinery to
reduce noise, eliminating the need for access to confined spaces,
reduction of hazardous substance inventories etc. are examples of
actions which can be taken to remove or reduce risks.
Conversely, the provision of training and personal protective
equipment are examples of safety management controls which may
have to be applied to hazards which cannot be eliminated.
In general, risks are expected to be reduced to be 'as low as
reasonably practicable' (ALARP). This term is generally accepted
in UK law as meaning that the cost of a particular control
measure can be weighed against its effectiveness when determining
whether it is appropriate or not. This does not imply a great
amount of discretion on the part of the employer, for example,
the effect on profitability of an operation has no bearing on
whether a particular control measure is reasonably practicable.
Some formal risk assessment techniques allow the term 'ALARP'
to be expressed quantitatively, for example in terms of cost per
life saved.
Risk Assessment Process
A generalised model of the risk assessment process is shown
in figure 1.
Figure 1. Generalised model of risk assessment process.
Company health and safety Management systems will usually
include various formal and semi-formal procedures for carrying
out risk assessment. These provide a range of tools available
which can be used to address the categories of risk referred to
above, according to need.
Some examples of these procedures are listed below, together
with the type of record which is produced for each.
Task-related hazards
Task-related hazards include those which are typical of the
general work activity and the physical working environment on or
offshore.
Examples:
These types of hazard can be identified by systematic surveys
and inspections of the workplace or work activities, particularly
where the work is routine or repetitive. Checklists are used to
prompt the assessment process and provide a reminder of the less
obvious hazards.
The resulting risk assessment information can be used to
develop standard work instructions. This reduces the need for an
individual risk assessment on each occasion the task is
performed, although it is still important for the team
leader or individual to ask the question 'has anything changed?'
before following the instruction.
In workplaces such as offshore installations, where a high
proportion of work is normally carried out under the control of a
written permit, risk assessment procedures may either be used as
a supplement to the normal permit to work procedures, or, for
lower risk activities, the issue of a permit alone may be
sufficient, since this is primarily a risk assessment process in
itself. Once the task has been completed, the working instruction
must be updated to reflect any changes which have been found
necessary, and any other documentation, such as training
material, must be amended.
For tasks which are unfamiliar, highly specialised or
otherwise known to be particularly risky because normal operating
or maintenance practices cannot be applied, an individual task
risk assessment can be carried out. This should form part of the
work planning process and will be used to prepare a formal
working instruction.
| Process | Method | Record Type |
| 1. Planned Inspection | Periodic visual examination of all | Report produced by operations |
| plant, equipment and structures | team responsible for the area. | |
| in the workplace to identify any | Identifies need for remedial | |
| deterioration or damage | actions. | |
| 2. Manual Handling | Periodic survey of manual | Report should identify routine |
| survey | handling operations. | manual handling activity and any |
| need for control actions. | ||
|
||
| 3. Personal Protective | Periodic survey to check | Report should confirm PPE as |
| Equipment (PPE) | adequacy of personal protective | adequate for specified use or |
| survey | equipment provided. | recommend changes. |
| 4. COSHH survey | Planned surveys of potential | May be undertaken by operations |
| exposure to hazardous | personnel or specialists. | |
| substances during work tasks. | ||
| 5. Accident Incident | Investigation of undesired events | Accident report should include |
| Investigation | to determine underlying causes | recommendations for control |
| and defects in the management | actions and indicate priorities. | |
| system. | ||
| 6. Accident Analysis | Analysis of accident statistics to | Reported as performance |
| look for trends indicating | statistics, e.g. lost-time injury | |
| underlying hazards. | frequency. | |
| 7. HAZID (Hazard | Team-based 'brainstorm' | Report systematically lists |
| Identification Study) | approach to identification of | hazards and required controls. |
| operating hazards. Used | Identifies priorities for further | |
| particularly as a project tool. | action. | |
| 8. Task Risk | Simple hazard identification and | Individual assessment record |
| Assessment | risk evaluation process | produced by team leader. |
| associated with a specific task. | ||
| 9. Task Analysis | Can be one of several types of | Task analysis sheets. |
| formal, highly structured | ||
| methods for analysing tasks. | ||
| 10. Team Brief | Workplace discussion and task | Team leader may keep diary |
| 'walk-through'. May be sufficient | record. | |
| assessment for lower-risk tasks. | ||
| 11. Permit to Work | Permit issuing authority must | PtW documents and attached |
| make an assessment of residual | certificates (mechanical and | |
| risks after the worksite has been | electrical isolations etc.). | |
| properly prepared. | ||
| 12. Toolbox talk | Routine short meetings of team | Team leader may keep diary |
| to discuss health and safety, as | record. | |
| well as other operational matters. | ||
| 13. Human Factors Study | Formal analysis of human | Can utilise various specialised |
| reliability and other factors which | techniques such as THERP, | |
| influence safety performance. | HTA, SLIM etc. (2) |
Process-related hazards
Process-related hazards include those which are related to
the design, construction, commissioning or modification of
particular items of plant and equipment. The hazards may affect
the workplace alone or, in the case of major chemical processing
sites, for example, they could potentially affect the surrounding
community and the general public.
These types of hazard are mainly controlled through adequate specification of initial design, quality control throughout construction and commissioning and effective management of normal operations. The methods of risk assessment used vary according to the nature of the activity:
| Title | Activity | Record Type |
| 1. Technical Safety | Applied throughout projects. | Comprehensive TSA report |
|
||
| Review (TSA) | Structured review of all health | produced at each project |
| and safety aspects at defined | stage. | |
| stages in the life of the project. | ||
| 2. HAZOP (Hazard and | Systematic analysis of piping | Standard HAZOP report. |
| Operability Study) | and instrument diagrams (P&ID), | |
| using standard guide words to | ||
| determine potential hazards. | ||
| 3. Project Workpack | Information on modification | Detailed pack containing |
| proposals provided to operating | P&IDs, layouts, specifications, | |
| and engineering personnel for | installation details, draft | |
| study of potential problems. | operating procedures etc., | |
| together with operators' | ||
| comments. | ||
| 4. Quality Assurance | Periodic technical inspection of | Report by specialist |
| Inspection | plant, equipment and structures. | engineers. Identifies any need |
| May require internal examination | for action to repair or maintain | |
| and use of non-destructive | equipment. | |
| testing. Addresses technical | ||
| integrity. | ||
| 5. ORA (Quantitative | Study using numerical | ORA report and |
| Risk Assessment) | techniques such as fault tree | recommendations. |
| analysis, statistical analysis, etc. | ||
| to quantify consequences and | ||
| probability of major accidents. | ||
| 6. 'What If' Study | Structured team discussion | Report. |
| method for identifying hazards. | ||
| 7. FMEA (Failure Modes | Formal analysis of failure | Report. |
| and Effects Analysis) | modes, using plant and | |
| instrument drawings. | ||
| 8. Plant criticality rating | Assessment of the operational | List of criticality ratings in |
| criticality of plant or systems to | maintenance schedule. | |
| allow scheduling of the most | ||
| appropriate maintenance | ||
| regime. Safety considerations | ||
| form part of the rating. |
Acceptability of Risk
In assessing the 'acceptability' of an identified risk, it is
often possible to refer to existing criteria against which the
risk can be compared. For example, relevant standards may already
be set out in legislation, official guidance or company operating
practices; these might include:
Although standards of this type would normally be regarded by
the regulatory authorities as an acceptable minimum to be
achieved, organisations may have a policy of seeking to improve
on the minimum. Such policies may be cost-effective, as well as
beneficial in terms of company external reputation.
Where there is no objective standard against which to assess
a risk, personal judgement must be used to decide whether the
available controls will achieve an adequate level of
acceptability. Under these circumstances, the experience and
background knowledge of those involved are essential factors in
ensuring the effectiveness of the assessment.
It is important to remember that individual perception of
risk can vary considerably. The impact of this on the assessment
process is discussed below.
Involving the Work Force
The site work force is likely to possess a great deal of
detailed information on risk. Technicians and operators will have
an intimate knowledge of how tasks are carried out in practice;
this knowledge will be a valuable resource, particularly in
relation to workplace inspections and task risk assessments.
In developing the use of the various risk assessment
techniques listed above, steps should therefore be taken to
encourage the involvement of the work force as much as possible
and to draw out experience and knowledge which complements other
risk information.
This process provides an effective means of reinforcing
everyone's understanding of the nature of the site risks and of
the role of individuals in ensuring that controls are applied
effectively.
Recording of Assessments
The UK Management of Health and Safety at Work Regulations
require the employer to record risk assessments. These records
should contain a statement of hazards and risks and should be
linked to other documents which describe the relevant controls in
the safety and health management system.
There should also be an estimate of the number of persons who
may be affected by each risk, particularly where there may be
groups of employees especially at risk.
Each type of record should be retained normally for at least
2 years, either as hard copy or secure electronic data and should
be auditable. Remedial actions arising from the assessments
should be given a priority rating and tracked to completion, also
in an auditable way.
There are cases, such as the assessment of personal exposure
to chemicals, where it is necessary for the employer to keep
records for at least 30 years or more. The format in which such
records are kept will require careful consideration.
Risk Perception
As described above, the acceptability of certain types of
risk can be stated in terms of objective performance standards or
legal requirements, or the organisation may have developed and
agreed internal codes or practices to provide guidance on
specific risk assessment processes and performance standards.
However, there will be many situations where risk is
difficult or impossible to quantify in these terms; the nature
and therefore the acceptability of the risks will have to be
judged subjectively, in the light of the experience and knowledge
of those involved in the work.
It has been repeatedly shown (3, 4) that the subjective
perception of risk level can vary considerably between
individuals. Perception of risk can be affected by many
influencing factors, such as familiarity with the task, work or
personal stress, perceived benefit, time-scale of the risk, level
of controllability, etc. Any of these factors could affect the
judgement of an individual to the extent that he believes that a
given risk will be under adequate control when an 'absolute',
i.e. objective, assessment would demonstrate otherwise.
These factors could apply to any risk assessment, whether
performed in a design office or at the worksite. The result of an
erroneous risk perception, therefore, might be a significant
design fault, a defective operating instruction, or a
deterioration in the integrity of plant, creating the potential
for an accident at some time in the future.
It is essential that the possibility that individuals can
underestimate risk should be recognised. Line managers should
always be aware that even the most experienced workers are
occasionally capable of significant errors in assessing risks.
Some of the precautions which might be adopted by managers
and supervisors to help reduce the possibility of errors of
judgement include the following:
Practical Implementation of Risk Assessment
The following is a checklist of significant questions by
which organisations might judge the effectiveness of their
methods of risk assessment:
Application
Scope
Methods
Resources
References
| 1 Management of Health and Safety at | Approved Code of Practice L21 |
| Work. | (HMSO). |
| 2 ACSNI Human Factors Study Group | Second Report. Human Reliability |
| Assessment - a critical overview | |
| HMSO. | |
| 3 ACSNI Human Factors.Study Group | Third Report. Organising for Safety. |
| HMSO | |
| 4 Risk Perception in UK Offshore | Flin, R., Mearns, K.J., Gordon, R., Fleming, M. |
| Workers. | Paper presented at Conference |
| 'Understanding Risk Perception', | |
| Robert Gordon University, 2/2/95. |