Abstract of Meeting Paper

Society for Risk Analysis-Europe 1997 Annual Meeting

Risk Perception Models and Risk Values in Russia. Konstantin Feofanov, Lecturer, Faculty of Sociology, Moscow State M.V. Lomonosov University, Member of the New York Academy of Sciences, Russian Federation, Moscow; and Olga Feofanova, Post-Graduate Student, Moscow State M.V. Lomonosov University, Russian Federation, Moscow; Corresponding address:  P.O. Box 257, 103051 Moscow, Russia; telephone +7-095-2504630, 2517524; fax +7-095-2504155; e-mail: mediarts@online.ru

Russia has an extremely diverse and unusual, compared to western and eastern European countries, risk perception characteristics that is caused by Russia's huge territorial extent and cultural differences. The paper based on preliminary research attempts at analysis of both "objective" and "subjective" risk perception aspects with accent on the "subjective" ones, namely on their connection with human values.

At the first or "objective" stage of the research, through methods of statistical analysis, it was found that Russian risk perception is influenced by high and still increasing degree of accidents and their negative impact. (Caused, in turn, by imperfection of technical systems, mistakes of exploitation of potentially dangerous plants, unsatisfactory technical measures of preventing and localizing emergencies, and serious personnel deficiencies.) Despite the disposition of most Russian territory in zones of high danger of natural disasters, it was unexpectedly revealed that the most Russian accidents have technogenic origin.

Risk communication in Russia is also highly influenced by Chernobyl disaster and former military nuclear probations led to the fear of "radiophoby" and real global radiational background. Serious danger of terrorism and deliberate harm at Nuclear Power Stations and equipment deficiencies caused by economic difficulties became a relatively new factors of safety threat.

Under these objective circumstanses arranged from statistical analysis, at the second or "subjective" stage of the research, the very risk perception by both professionals and laymen was studied through method of "expert interviews" in different parts of Russia. Four major patterns of risk perception were revealed, common for "megalopolises" vs. "little towns", "European" vs. "Asian" Russia. The risk perception patterns do not pretend to cover all manifold risk values but help to better understand them. Detailed description of these patterns and their various connections with the above objective risks are analysed in the paper. E.g. contrast to both "megalopolises" like Moscow or St. Petersburg and to cities or towns of "European part of Russia", risk perception in "little towns" and "Asian Russia" is characterised by many "old-Soviet myths and stereotypes" as well as Utopian measures suggested by respondents to improve the situation.

Through the expert interviews, it is confirmed that risk perception in Russia highly correlates with social and political values of people. The mutual dependency of risk perception patterns and social values of people is discussed in detail.

The findings from both statistical analysis and expert interviews, despite their ability to verify hypotheses, are still a preliminary stage of the further quantitative research planned by the Group for Risk Research of lecturers and students of several Moscow Universities targeted at building the social theory of risk perception.


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