Abstract of Meeting Paper

Society for Risk Analysis-Europe 1997 Annual Meeting

Presenting the Benefits and Risks of Oral Contraceptives: Lessons from a UK 'Pill Panic'. Ann Furendi, Director, Birth Control Trust, 16 Mortimer Street, London, WIN 7RD, England , telephone 0171 580 9360, fax 0171 637 1378 e-mail bct@birthcontroltrust.org.uk

On 18 October 1995 the UK Committee on Safety of Medicine sent a letter to all doctors warning that three yet-to-be published studies had indicated that "combined oral contraceptives containing desogestrel and gestodene ... are associated with around a two-fold increase in the risk of thrombo-embulism". A press release issued by the Department of Health on 19 October 1995 recommended that women "should see their doctor ... to discuss whether a change of pill is necessary".

The information on which the CSM announcement was based could have been understood to confirm the safety of the pill for the overwhelming majority of users. The excess risk of venous thromboembolism to pill-users was confirmed as one per 10,000 to women using older brands of pill and as two per 10,000 to women using the more modem 'third generation pills'. The information was, however, presented as a 'health risk issue' by health officials and reported as such in sensational terms by the media.

In the two weeks following the publication of new advice the Family Planning Association's helpline received 20 times as many enquiries from health professionals as usual. A letter in the British Medical Journal noted that a telephone helpline established at a family planning clinic in Glasgow too 2,348 calls on the first seven days after the CSM announcement and that attendances rose from an expected 700 to 2029.

The announcement seriously undermined confidence in the safety of oral contraception. A survey published in the British Medical Journal in march 1996 suggested that 12 per cent of women on the 'higher risk' pills were so concerned about the publicity that instead of switching to a different pill, they stopped taking it altogether. A survey of local health authorities has found that, of those able to supply statistics, 80 per cent recorded an increase in the rate of abortions. It is estimated that total number abortions associated with the panic will be approximately 3,000.

This paper will examine (i) why the pill panic happened (ii) how information on the benefits and risks of oral contraceptives can be presented (iii) how such announcements can be managed more effectively. It will draw on an extensive range of interviews with key stakeholders, and on material drawn from focus groups run to determine how women perceive risk in relation to reproductive health.

The author is director of Birth Control Trust -- a non-profit organisation that organises research and provides information on reproductive health issues -- and chair of the UK Contraceptive Alliance working group on risk issues and contraception.


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