Abstract of Meeting Paper

Society for Risk Analysis-Europe 1997 Annual Meeting

The Unique Experiments on the Assessment of Accident Consequences at the Gas Transport Systems. A. I. Gritsenko and N. S. Belov, Gas Research Institute, VNII-GAS, Razvilka, Moscow Reg. 142717, RUSSIA; and V. N. Semenov and O. S. Sorokovikova, Nuclear Safety Institute RAS (IBRAE-RAN), Bolshaya Tulskaya 52, Moscow, 113191, RUSSIA

Safety of gas transport systems is a very complicated scientific and technological problem. Transportation of natural and liquefied gases by pipelines brings more dangerous and harmful factors for the biosphere. Emergency situations followed by pipelines break-down are the most dangerous ones.

Development of mathematical forecast models for assessment of accidents progression and consequences is one of the main elements of works on safety analysis and risk assessment. The critical step in development of such models is their validation using the experimental material.

Full-scale experiments have been conducted by the Russian Gas Research Institute (VNIIGAS) for grounding of sizes of hazard zones in case of the severe accidents with the gas pipelines. The source of emergency gas release was the working gas pipeline with 1000 min diameter and 110 km length. This pipeline was used for transportation of natural gas with significant amount of hydrogen sulphide (H2S). During these experiments significant quantities of the gas including H2S were released into the atmosphere and then concentrations of gas and H2S were measured in the accident region.

The results of these experiments are used for validation of atmospheric dispersion models including the new Lagrangian trace stochastic model that takes into account a wide range of meteorological factors. This model was developed as a part of computer system for of decision-making support in case of accident release of toxic gases into atmosphere at the enterprises of Russian gas industry.

 


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