Risk Concept in Intelligent Decision-Support Systems for Emergency Management. Adam Maria Gadomski, Senior Research Scientist, ENEA (The Italian National Research Agency for New Technologies, Energy and the Environment), ENEA, CR Casaccia, 00060 Roma, Italy, telephone +39-06-3048-3404, fax +39-06-3048-6511, e-mail gadomski@casaccia.enea.it
The development of intelligent decision-support systems (IDSS) for emergency management is a new interdisciplinary research activity. its objectives are to increase the efficacy of emergency management and to reduce the probability of human decisional errors.
Emergency manager decision making depends on available information on emergency situation, resources, his/her manager role, mental capabilities and characterological profile [2].
He/she must take under consideration possible domain-related static and dynamic risks, as well as he need to evaluate risks related to the execution of different intervention alternatives. An intelligent computer support should relay on the suggestion of actions/interventions and on an explanation of their motivations.
In order to design IDSS, the above requirements have to be presented in frame of a generic emergency scenarios and formal decisional models. The paper presents a general decision-making model in the context of emergency situations and analyses how different risks and their properties are employed in the decision-making reasoning processes, it is a new point of view on risk based reasoning problems [3]. The accepted IDSS architecture is based on multiagent cognitive system. the modeling in presented according to the toga (top-down object-based goal-oriented approach) conceptualization framework [1] .
References
[1] A.M.Gadomski. Toga: A Methodological And Conceptual Pattern For Modeling Of Abstract Intelligent Agent. Proceedings Of The "First International Round-Table On Abstract Intelligent Agent". A.M. Gadomski (Editor), 25-27 Jan.1993, Rome, Published By Enea, Feb.1994.
[2] A.M.Gadomski , S. Bologna, G. Di Costanzo. Intelligent Decision Support For Cooperating Emergency Managers: The Toga Based Conceptualization Framework. The Proceedings Of "Tiemec 1995: The International Emergency Management And Engineering Conference", J.D. Sullivan, J.L. Wybo, L. Buisson (Editors), Nice, May, 1995.
[3] A.M.Gadomski. Risk Based Reasoning In Decision-Making For Emergency Management. Sra Europe Annual Conference "Risk Analysis: Opening The Process", Paris, France, 11-14 Oct., 1998.
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