09.30        Opening by the Conference Director
                   Dr. L.H.J. Goossens

09.45        Official opening by the Deputy Mayor of   Rotterdam
                   Mr. H.J. Simons

10.00        Past and future of risk analysis: what do we learn?
                  Prof. B.-M. Drottz-Sjöberg

10.40        BREAK

11.10        Health impact of large airports
                  J.A. Knottnerus, W.F. Passchier, H. Albering & I.C. Walda

11.50        Food safety risk analysis in the international framework
                  Mr. J.-L. Jouve

Session 1: Technological risk – Quantitative Risk Analysis (1)
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 14.00 – 15.20
Chairman: N. Malevannaia

14.00 – 14.20     Risk assessment of delays during deep water pipe-laying
                                V.M. Trbojevic & W.H. Vervest

14.20 – 14.40     Fracture/corrosion statistics in gas industry 1980-1999
                                Polyakov V.

14.40 – 15.00     RAP risk assessment pipeline: crude transport hazard
                                Mazzucchelli Luca, Galinetto Rita, Viviana Colombari, Domenico Pizzorni,  Luca Molteni, Lucia Innocenti & Giorgio Vicini

15.00 – 15.20     Accident scenarios in the transport of toxic/flammable liquefied gases
                                Debora Romoli & Giorgio Palmieri

Session 2: Transport risk
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 15.35 – 16.55
Chairman: D. Vernez

15.35 – 15.55     Dealing with third party risk around a major airport
                                B.J.M. Ale & M. Piers

15.55 – 16.15     Using coloured petri nets for improving intrinsic safe design in a new transportation system
                                David Vernez

16.15 – 16.35     Assessing and comparing risks of transportation, manipulation and storage of hazardous substances. A case study in Italy
                                G. Marsili, C. Ferrari & M.E. Soggiu

16.35 – 16.55     Derailment provisions in the high speed train link in the Netherlands
                                M.J.P. van der Meulen

Session 3: Technological risk – Culture and Behaviour
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 17.00 – 18.00
Chairman: M. Abramovici

17.00 – 17.20     Safety culture, shared values and practices
                                Marianne Abramovici

17.20 – 17.40     The role of human performance in the safety complex plants operation
                                Irina Aida Preda, Roxana Elena Lazar & Cornelia Croitoru

17.40 – 18.00     Risk concept in intelligent decision-support systems for emergency management
                                Adam Maria Gadomski

Session 4: Technological risk – applications
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 09.00 – 10.40
Chairman: S.M. Lemkowitz

09.00 – 09.20    Risk analysis of fire protection system using Bayesian networks
                                Milan Holický & Miloš Vorlícek

09.20 – 09.40    Full-scale experiments on the evaluation of breakdown consequences at the gas-hazardous objects  and their practical implementation
                                Nikolai S. Belov

09.40 – 10.00    Five years of Sosnovy Bor risk-projects
                                Natalia Malevannaia

10.00 – 10.20    Analysis of risks from natural and man-made hazards for the Ural industrial region
                                B.A. Korobitsin & V.N. Chukanov

10.20 – 10.40    Control of major Hazard in Australia: a technical risk? Or a political risk?
                                R.B. Ward, Angelo di Giunta & Sushil Prasad

Session 5: Technological Risk – Quantitative Risk Analysis (2)
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 11.00 – 12.40
Chairman: E. Blokker

11.00 – 11.20    Strategies for the quantitative risk assessment of knock-on accident scenarios
                                Valerio Cozzani & Severino Zanelli

11.20 – 11.40    Bias in catastrophic failure rates
                                J.C. de Knijff

11.40 – 12.00    Synergetic effect and natural risk analysis
                                Alexei L. Ragozin

12.00 – 12.20    Modelling safety management and safety measures for risk assessment at airports
                                A.R. Hale, J.A. Mulder & M.M. van Paassen

12.20 – 12.40    PSA and the convention on nuclear safety
                                Steven Sholly & Peter Hofer

Session 6: Water risk (1)
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 14.00 – 15.20
Chairman: J.K. Vrijling

14.00 – 14.20    A survey of risk assessment tools for use in flood defence project appraisal – recent developments and practical application
                               Ian C. Meadowcroft & John D. Pos

14.20 – 14.40    Uncertainty analysis of water levels on lake IJssel in the Netherlands
                                J.K. Vrijling & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

14.40 – 15.00    The use of L-Kurtosis in the estimation of extreme floods
                                P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder, M.D. Pandey & J.K. Vrijling

15.00 – 15.20    Phenol removing from the water during the electrochemical generation of active chlorine
                                G.A. Bogdanovsky, T.V. Savelieva & S.Yu. Shtyrkova

Session 7: Water risk (2)
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 16.30 – 17.50
Chairman: H. Albering

16.30 – 16.50    Reasoning by analogies: a case-study in public health
                                Sophie Gaultier-Gaillard

16.50 – 17.10    Risk communication of drinking water quality issues – a mental models approach: how can the UK water industry fill the gaps in knowledge which exist between experts and customers?
                                Anne Owen, C.R.I. Clayton, C. Fife-Schaw & J. Colbourne

17.10 – 17.30   Small round structured viruses: molecular detection in sporadic epidemic gastroenteritis and in various water samples, in South-Western France
                                E. Schvoerer, F. Bonnet, V. Dubois, A.-M. Rogues, F.-E. Lafon & H.J.A. Fleury

17.30 – 17.50   Nitrate in drinking water and risk of childhood diabetes mellitus in The Netherlands
                                J.M.S. van Maanen, H.J. Albering, S.G.J. van Breda, D.M.J. Curfs, A.W. Ambergen,  B.H.R. Wolffenbuttel,  J.C.S. Kleinjans & H.M. Reeser

TRACK 2: METHODS AND MANAGEMENT
Place: van Walsum Room (17)
Highlighters: A.R. Hale & V.E. Eremenko

Session 1: Method for Technological Risk
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 14.00 – 15.20
Chairman: P.H.J.J. Swuste

14.00 – 14.20   Nuclear countermeasures uncertainties assessed by experts
                                Louis H.J. Goossens, Joachim Ehrhardt, Bernd C.P. Kraan

14.20 – 14.40   A hazard evaluation technique to predict accident and exposure scenarios
                                Paul Swuste, Louis Goossens, Tom Heijer & Erik Wiersma

14.40 – 15.00   Handbooks for making risk assessments of accidents with Hazardous materials in The Netherlands
                                Esko Blokker & Frederik Bruning

15.00 – 15.20   TRIPOD delta detecting organisational vulnerability by mapping operational performance
                                Victor Roggeveen, Henk van den Brink, Jop Groeneweg & Michel Lambers

Session 2: Methods for Environmental Health Risks
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 15.35 – 16.55
Chairman: D. Bard

15.35 – 15.55   Analysis of risk research activities within SRA-Europe
                                Dorte Lerche & Louis Goossens

15.55 – 16.15   Risk assessment revisited: a review of contaminated land risk assessment using data from known contaminated site in Portsmouth, UK
                                J.S. Plunkett, N. Walton, D.P. Giles & N. Langdon

16.15 – 16.35   Considering environmental harm: qualitative and semi-quantitative treatment for strategic risk assessment
                                Raquel Duarte-Davidson, Simon J.T. Pollard, Roger Yearsley, Gareth Llewellyn & John Steel

16.35 – 16.55   Teaching environmental health risk assessment in Europe: a survey among members of SRA-Europe
                                Denis Bard & Claire Mays

Session 3: New Risks
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 17.00 – 18.00
Chairman: P. Vestrucci

17.00 – 17.20   Cross-border rail transport and the risks linked to cultural differences
                                Marc Poumadere & Coralie Mugnai

17.20 – 17.40   Modelling errors of commission: applicability of Atheana in the chemical industry
                                A.R. Hale, L.H.J. Goossens & L.J. Bellamy

17.40 – 18.00   A framework for carrying out risk assessment of complex process plant
                                B. Kandola & Simon R. Shield

Session 4: Risk Management Methods
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 09.00 – 10.40
Chairman: A.R. Hale

09.00 – 09.20   Science-based, precautionary and discursive risk management strategies in a deliberative process
                                Andreas Klinke & Ortwin Renn

09.20 – 09.40   IT risk management - a business perspective
                                Malcolm Leith

09.40 – 10.00   Achieving a positive risk management culture - "making it happen and making it stick"
                                N.J. Brace, J.A. Franey, E. Grandi, K. Martin, J.R. Robinson & M. Slater

10.00 – 10.20   Individual and collective risk indices in labor conditions
                                Paolo Vestrucci

10.20 – 10.40   Why changing the way to measure the risk?
                                Olivier Salvi & Didier Gaston

Session 5: Risk Management applications
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 11.00 – 12.40
Chairman: P. Hubert

11.00 – 11.20   Barriers to the adoption of good hygiene practice by small and medium-sized food businesses: a case study of ready to eat meat products manufacturing
                                Georgina Holt

11.20 – 11.40   Managing geotechnical risk on building and construction projects
                                J.P. van der Berg & C.R.I. Clayton

11.40 – 12.00   The industrial safety promotion at oil and gas deposits in the shelf of freezing seas
                                A. Yelokhin & A. Chernoplekov

12.00 – 12.20   Preconditions and patterns of risk management in Russia
                                Konstantin Feofanov & Irina V. Feofanova

12.20 – 12.40   Risk perception in Portugal: the importance of a magic word
                                J.M. Palma-Oliveira & S. Correia dos Santos

12.40 – 13.00   Risk based system for management of navigation in ports
                                V.M. Trbojevic & W.H. Vervest

Session 6: Methods for Ecological/Environmental Risks
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 14.00 – 15.20
Chairman: V. Eremenko

14.00 – 14.20   Identifying the key parameters in exposure assessment using probabilistic sensitivity analysis
                                Sari M. Kuusisto

14.20 – 14.40   The development of risk assessment capabilities within the environment agency
                                Simon J.T. Pollard & Raquel Duarte-Davidson

14.00 – 15.00   Human-centered risk assessement approaches for regions with a heavy burden of hazardous materials and meager financial resources
                                Vitaly Eremenko, James Droppo, Jr & Dennis C. Bley.

15.00 – 15.20   Comparative risk analysis of health consequences caused by contaminated environment
                                A.A. Bykov & I.A. Pronina

Session 7: Methods for Food/Health Risks
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 16.30 – 17.50
Chairman: H.S. Horst

16.30 – 16.50   Developing new approaches to assessing risks to human health from chemicals
                                Michael Topping

16.50 – 17.10   Use of analytical techniques in reconstruction of dietary intakes: application to techa river population
                                Dimitry Burmistrov & Igor Linkov

17.10 – 17.30   Probabilistic model of the age-dependent populations’ mortality as the basis for the analysis of environmental pollution influence on human healt
                                I.A. Pronina & A.A. Bykov

17.30 – 17.50   The assessment of carcinogenicity and its role in risk assessment of chemicals in The Netherlands
                                P.W. van Vliet, C.A. Bouwman & A.S.A.M. van der Burght

TRACK 3: PERCEPTION, COMMUNICATION, TRUST
Place: Leeuwen room (23)
Highlighters: L.J. Frewer & C. Mays

Session 1: Risk Communication - methodologie
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 14.00 – 15.20
Chairman: J.M. Gutteling

14.00 – 14.20   Restoring trust by participation: a comment based on social judgement theory
                                Lars-Erik Warg & Misse Wester-Herber

14.20 – 14.40   Safety and inter-organisational communication. A study of interfaces in large sosiotechnical systems
                                Christoffer Serck-Hanssen

14.40 – 15.00   Risk message versus risk communication process regarding risk communication on chemical industrial hazards
                                Caterina Vollono, Anna Bastone, Roberto Latella & Laura Lauria

15.00 – 15.20   In the neighbourhood: explaining the local opposition to the siting of waste facilities in The Netherlands
                                M. Galetzka

Session 2: Risk Perception knowledge transfer & evaluation
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 15.35 – 16.55
Chairman: B.-M. Drottz-Sjöberg

15.35 – 15.55   Three themes in risk perception: towards a conception of risk perception as ideology rather than emotion
                                Lennart Sjöberg

15.55 - 16.15    Uncertainty, optimistic bias and risk perception
                                Susan Miles & Lynn J. Frewer

16.15 – 16.35   Are professional relevant risk factors transferred towards layperson during consultations?
                                   The case of cancer genetic risk service
                                F. Eisinger, C. Julian-Reynier, H. Sobol & M. Morin

16.35 – 16.55   Effect of causal structure on the evaluation of environmental risks
                                Gisela Böhm

Session 3: Social Amplification – media
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 17.00 – 18.00
Chairman: C. Mays-Poumadère

17.00 – 17.20   Making sense of Chernobyl nine years after: TV News Reception Study of the Environmental Disaster
                                Soilikki Vettenranta

17.20 – 17.40   Media risks: the social amplification of risk and media violence debate
                                Annette Hill

17.40 – 18.00   Openness alleviates fear (major hazard communication in The Netherlands)
                                Fred Woudenberg

Session 4: Social Amplification – backgrounds
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 09.00 – 10.40
Chairman: R.E. Löfstedt

09.00 – 09.20   Social capital and trust in a biomass plant planning consultation
                                Philip Sinclair

09.20 – 09.40   Hazard sequences: the effects on risk amplification
                                G.M. Breakwell & J. Barnett

09.40 – 10.00   Defining trust
                                Ragnar E. Löfstedt & Åsa Boholm

10.00 – 10.20   Determinants of risk perception: universal or hazard-specific?
                                Cornelia R. Karger & P.M. Wiedemann

10.20 – 10.40   The risk society: perspectives from social amplification research
                                Roger E. Kasperson & Jeanne X. Kasperson

Session 5: Risk Communication: individual and institutional
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 11.00 – 13.00
Chairman: G. Böhm

11.00 – 11.20   Environmental risk perception, health concerns and attitudes for change
                                Daniela Kolarova

11.20 – 11.40   Parents perceptions of the impact of opencast coalmining on the environment and health
                                Suzanne Moffatt & Peter Simmons

11.40 – 12.00   Improving risk communication: development in the UK department of health
                                Peter Bennett, John Maule & Simon French

12.00 – 12.20   Implementing the SEVESO II directive in Sweden    
                                Misse Wester-Herber & Lars-Erik Warg

12.20 – 12.40   The population and specialists attituted to the atomic energy in Russia
                                Guenrietta V. Arkhanguelskaia & Irina A. Zykova

12.40 – 13.00   Risk, stigma, place: technological hazards and spoiled identities
                                Peter Simmons, Brian Wynne, Gordon Walker & Alan Irwin

Session 6: Risk Communication – applications
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 14.00 – 15.20
Chairman: M. Poumadère

14.00 – 14.20   Radio frequency fields and cellular telephones: the Canadian case in a current international risk controversy in wireless telecommunications
                                William Leiss & Greg Paoli

14.20 – 14.40   Risk analysis and communication for a disposal site of radioactive sludges: an efficient strategy
                                Christian M. Kunze & Gunter Kiessig

14.40 – 15.00   Nuclear emergency planning and response in industrial areas: a qualitative study in the Antwerp harbour region
                                F. Hardeman, N. Pauwels & K. Soudan

15.00 – 15.20   Biomass and risk communication, with reference to a case study at Calne, Wiltshire
                                Diana Hargreaves

Session 7: Risk Perception – experts versus laypersons
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 16.30 – 18.30
Chairman: C.A.J. Vlek

16.30 – 16.50   Demographic differences in risk perceptions and public priorities for risk mitigation
                                 Lynn Frewer

16.50 – 17.10   Sheep dip-how understanding perceptions of risk can aid communication and policy making
                                P. Carmody, L. Frewer & M. Wooldridge

17.10 – 17.30   The millennium bug controversy in The Netherlands? Experts' views versus public perception
                                J.M. Gutteling & M.W.M. Kuttschreuter

17.30 – 17.50   Ecological and professional risks perception by students and its possible determinants
                                V.N. Malakhovsky, S.A. Kutsenko, A.N. Galitskii & I.A. Zykova

17.50 – 18.10   Public perceptions of the risks to health from air pollution: the importance of place
                                J. Bush, S. Moffatt & C.E. Dunn

18.10 – 18.30   Determinants of expert and public perceptions of radiation risk
                                Stephen Hunt & Lynn J. Frewer

TRACK 4: DECISION MAKING, UNCERTAINTY & POLICY ASSESSMENT
Place: J.F. Staal Room (24)
Highlighters: I.A. Papazoglou & W.F. Passchier

Session 1: Decision Making under Uncertainty – land use planning
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 14.00 – 15.20
Chairman: B. Ale

14.00 – 14.20   Expressing risk aversion and risk proneness in land use planning
                                I. A. Papazoglou, Z.S. Nivolianitou & G.S. Bonanos

14.20 – 14.40   Application of environmental damage assessment methodologies to relevant risk situations considered in "SEVESO 2" EEC directive
                                Giovanni Zappellini & Roberto Colzani

14.40 – 15.00   Sitar: a decisional support in area risk assessment
                                Alfredo Romano, Enrivo Venturini, Sara Prasciolu & Cinzia Gaslini

15.00 – 15.20   Forecasting and control of market risk in real estate investments
                                Elena Fregonara

Session 2: Decision Making under Uncertainty –   applications
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 15.35 – 16.55
Chairman: Y. Papazoglou

15.35 – 15.55   Assessing transport safety from multiple perspectives
                                Nils Rosmuller

15.55 – 16.15   Optimal breakwater design for the Rotterdam harbour extension
                                H.G. Voortman, J.K. Vrijling, S. Boer & W. Kortlever

16.15 – 16.35   Harmonising approaches to determining data-derived uncertainty factors: boric acid as a case study
                                F.J. Murray, G. Charnley, S. Hubbard & P.L. Strong

16.35 – 16.55   Investing without knowing: a survey on how a research fund makes decisions under high uncertainty
                                Sebastian Eschenbach, Linda Pelzman & Franz Strommer

Session 3: Decision Making under Uncertainty – methods
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 17.00 – 18.00
Chairman: I. Linkov

17.00 – 17.20   Improving decision-making under uncertainty. An integrated approach to strategic risk analysis.
                                Marjolein B.A. van Asselt

17.20 – 17.40   A comparison of CBA and MAUT for ALARP decision-making
                                Simon French, Elizabeth Atherton & Tim Bedford

17.40 – 18.00   Sensitivity analysis of ranked industrial waste streams in Portugal
                                Jo Anne Shatkin, Igor Linkov & José Manuel Palma-Oliviera

Session 4: Role of Experts
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 09.00 – 10.40
Chairman: W.F. Passchier

09.00 – 09.20   Bounding risk, bounding science - standards setting for occupational chemicals
                                Roland Bal

09.20 – 09.40   The role of expert judgement in hazardous factors influence prognosis: parametric elicitation technique
                                Victor G. Krymsky, Roger M. Cooke & Andrey R. Yunusov

09.40 – 10.00   Eliciting expert judgement on health and environment in the Health Council of The Netherlands
                                P.W. van Vliet, C.A. Bouwman, A.S.A.M. van der Burght & W.F. Passchier

10.00 – 10.20   Quantification of expert opinion on risk factors for bovine respiratory disease in dairy youngstock in The Netherlands
                                H.J. van der Fels-Klerx, H.S. Horst & A.A. Dijkhuizen

10.20 – 10.40   Scientific advice and public decisions recent institutional responses in France
                                Philippe Hubert

Session 5: Policy Assessment – goal setting, health & public policy
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 11.00 – 12.40
Chairman: E. Beroggi

11.00 – 11.20   Risk based regulation: a suitable concept to legislate and regulate technical risks? Evaluation of various case-studies in Switzerland
                                Thomas Flûeler and Hansjörg Seiler

11.20 – 11.40   Risk management in medicine and health advocate for a two threshold-three level guidelines
                                F. Eisinger & R. Fouchet

11.40 – 12.00   A public health basis for food safety objectives
                                Arie Havelaar, Wout Slob & Jean-Louis Jouve

12.00 – 12.20   Risk management strategies in relation to food safety: who benefits and who pays?
                                H.S. Horst

12.20 – 12.40   Implementation of the public safety policy in Rijnmond area
                                D. Buskes-Rezvanova & L. Vijgen

Session 6: Policy Assessment – Cost Benefit
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 14.00 – 15.20
Chairman: N. Borodyanskiy

14.00 – 14.20   Financial risk assessment of a port development options
                                V.M. Trbojevic

14.20 – 14.40   Risk analysis of the Ukraine’s growing economical isolation
                                Naum Borodyanskiy

14.40 – 15.00   A comparison of the external cost of hydroelectric and nuclear power plants
                                I.O. Kollas & S. Mirasgedis

15.00 – 15.20   Risk analysis in Russia: needs, R&D
                                V.F. Demin

Session 7: Policy Assessment – global perspectives & natural disaster
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 16.30 – 17.40
Chairman: J. Linnerooth-Bayer

16.30 – 16.50   New perspectives for business consulting in the risk management of natural disasters and global change
                                S. Aschenbrenner & R. Mechler

16.50 – 17.10   Varied scale's assessment of vulnerabiligy of objects in the procedure of natural hazards risk analysis
                                Vera A. Pyrchenko

17.10 – 17.30   Expert mental models of ecosystem risk
                                W.G.B. Smith

17.30 – 17.50   Who pays for catastrophes?
                                Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer

17.50 – 18.10   The use of risk management function in the optimization of territory protection when preparing regional charts
                                S.G. Mironiouk & Yu.L. Shcheview

TRACK 5: HEALTH RISK
Place: Goudriaan Room (22)
Highlighters: V. Chumak & P. Hubert

Session 1: Chernobyl – dosimetry
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 14.00 – 15.40
Chairman: V. Chumak

14.00 – 14.20   Retrospective dosimetry of some populations exposed after Chernobyl
                                Vadim V. Chumak

14.20 – 14.40   Uncertainties of the Chernobyl thyroid dose assessment made using environmental transfer model
                                Vladimir V. Drozdovitch

14.40 – 15.00   Monitoring of chromosome aberrations as bioindicators in assessment of radiation/radionuclide risk for the people and ecological health
                                Igor I. Suskov, Vladimir A. Shevchenko & Nicolai N. Ilyinskikh

15.00 – 15.20   Regularities of cesium-137 content in the organisms of inhabitants of Vysokaya and Vornovka  settlements of Korma district
                                E.F. Konoplya, G.M. Zhmura, N.V. Zhmura, H. Dederichs & R. Hille

15.20 – 15.40   Impact of the Chernobyl accident on the radioactive contamination of the Croatian environment
                                Zdenko Franic & Gordana Marovic

Session 2: Radiation/non-radiation – somatic consequences
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 15.40 – 17.20
Chairman: B.A.J.M. de Mol

15.40 – 16.00   Mutagenic consequences of radiating pollution of Siberia
                                N.N. Ilinskikh, I.N. Ilinskikh, E.N. Ilinskikh & B.V. Smirnov

16.00 – 16.20   Biological effects of low-dose chronic irradiation in somatic cells of small mammals
                                R.I. Goncharova, N.I. Ryabokon & I.I. Smolich

16.20 – 16.40   Chronic radiation exposure and leukaemia: difficulties and experiences from the Nord-Cotentin  radio-ecological study
                                 C. Rommens & D. Laurier

16.40 – 17.00   IVB-induced immunomodulation: estimation of the health risk
                                J. Garssen, W. Slob & H. van Loveren

17.00 – 17.20   Comparison of the risk assessment and management of ionising radiation, asbestos and nickel
                                T. Schneider, A. Oudiz, S. Gadbois, S. Lepicard & G. Heriard-Dubreuil

Session 3: Chernobyl – accident management
Monday afternoon: October 11; time: 17.20 – 18.20
Chairman: J. Brenot

17.20 – 17.40   The usage of the cost – benefit ratio in risk assessment of region contaminated by Chernobyl accident
                                I. Lyashenko & N. Yanenko

17.40 – 18.00   Software for efficiency estimation of emergency response
                                A. Yelokhin, V. Glebov & A. Lebedev

18.00 – 18.20   GIS-DSS for risk managing and decision-making aiding on site-specific rehabilitation of radioactive contaminated territories
                                Boris I. Yatsalo & Oleg A. Mirzeabassov

Session 4: Food/Health risk
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 09.00 – 10.40
Chairman: A.H. Havelaar

09.00 – 09.20   A quantitative risk assessment for campylobacters in broilers: work in progress
                                E. Hartnett, L.A. Kelly & M. Wooldridge

09.20 – 09.40   Applying quantitative risk analysis to veterinary decisions in the Danish poultry industry: Vaccination versus stamping out
                                Mimi Folden Jensen, Jette Christensen & Henrik Stryhn

09.40 – 10.00   Estimation of the prevalence of salmonella infected animals in poultry flocks and implications for  logistic slaughtering
                                Erik G. Evers & Maarten J. Nauta

10.00 – 10.20   "Farm to fork" exposure assessment: modelling the process
                                 Maarten J. Nauta

10.20 – 10.40   Outline of a simulation model to estimate the risk of contagious animal disease introduction into  densely populated livestock areas of the European union
                                C.J. de Vos & H.S. Horst

Session 5: Chernobyl - radiation - somatic consequences
Tuesday morning: October 12; time: 11.00 – 13.00
Chairman: P. Verger

11.00 – 11.20   Long–term consequences of the Chernobyl disaster among children of 0–14 years old at the time of the accident residing now on radio-actively contaminated territories of Ukraine
                                E.I. Bomko, A.Ye. Romanenko, E.V. Kucher, A.A. Bomko & L.N. Galich

11.20 – 11.40   Co-laboratory research on definition of doses of radiation, received by the local population in result of  failure on Siberian chemical combine on April 6, 1993
                                N. Ilyinskikh, A.T. Natarajan, I. Suskov, Yu. Revasova, S. Kolyuvaeva, I. Danilenko,   A.V. Eremich & L. Smerennii

11.40 – 12.00   Assessment of health risk and efficacy of therapy of liquidators of Chernobyl accident
                                V. Rykhtovsky, K. Atoyev & V. Klimenko

12.00 – 12.20   Assessment of spontaneous thyroid cancer risk in Ukraine
                                V. Shpak, I. Kairo, T. Bogdanova & N. Kartashov

12.20 – 12.40   The long term effect risks caused by the Chernobyl accident for man and animals
                                Ya.I. Serkiz, I.P. Drozd & M.Yu. Gredghuk

12.40 – 13.00   Epidemiological investigation health status of children exposed to the Chernobyl accident
                                Natalia Korol

Session 6: Mental risk
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 14.00 – 15.40
Chairman: J. Havenaar

14.00 – 14.20   Risk of mental disturbances in the population involved in the Chernobyl accident
                                Galina Roumjantseva

14.20 – 14.40   Stress related health-risk and mass exposure to toxicological substances
                                Johan M. Havenaar, Wim van den Brink, T. Jean F. Savelkous

14.40 – 15.00   Risk perception process, stress and coping strategies in a natural and industrial risk situation
                                Esperanza Lopez Vasquez

15.00 – 15.20   Mental health effects from radiation: facts and social management
                                J. Brenot & S. Charron

15.20 – 15.40   Risk factors for post traumatic stress symptoms 5 years after the 1992 flood in the Vaucluse (France)
                                P. Verger, C. Hunault, E. Baruffol & M. Rotily

Session 7: Ecological/Environmental Health Risks
Tuesday afternoon: October 12; time: 16.30 – 17.50
Chairman: G. Marsili

16.30 – 16.50   Quantification of risk for ecosystem survival
                                Vitaly N. Lystsov & Nikita V. Murzin

16.50 – 17.10   A framework for assessment of pollution risks: a guide to insurers
                                Ana Salgueiro, Paula Antunes, Rui Santos & Sandra Martinho

17.10 – 17.30   The assessment of priorities for middle Urals’ environmental pollution prevention
                                N.M. Barysheva & B.A. Korobitsin

17.30 – 17.50   Computer technology for development of optimal therapy at the action of toxic substances in food chain
                                V. Bebeshko & V. Yanenko

PLENARY session
Place: Rotterdam Hall
Wednesday morning; October 13; time: 09.00 – 12.30

09.00    Prospects of application of RISK ANALYSIS methodology in FSU and East Europe
                V. Eremenko

09.40    Water at risk: water related risks and challenges in the 21th century
                Henk L.F. Saeijs

10.20 BREAK

10.45    Presentations of track highlights; For each of the five tracks the highlights wil be summerized in 5 minutes per track: 
             what are the crucial issues on what we can all learn from that track, and what are the most important issues for the next
             millennium, followed by a plenary theme discussion on future risks.
              J. van Eijndhoven

12.15   Awards

12.30   Closure of the conference by the Conference Director
                   Dr. L.H.J. Goossens

Posters related to Track 1; session 1

Methodical peculiarities of risk assessment of fire, blast and toxic hazard facilities
G. Odisharia, V.Safonov & O.Andronova

Risk assessment by distribution of hazardous events as a function on time and damage
B. Potapov, V. Akimov, Y. Vorobiev & N. Radaev

Chemical risk assessment based on the framework of basin-wide ecological modelling and the ecotoxicological index
A. Tokai, M. Masuda, J. Nakanishi, T. Fukushima & T. Kojiri

Poster related to Track 1; session 2

Transport emergencies risk assessment: expert prognosis based on the constructing of drivers behaviour model
Irina L. Orlovskaia

Posters related to Track 1: session 4

Multi-functional deepshafts
H.C.M. Breek & P. van Donkelaar

The influence of meteorology on probalistic nuclear accident consequence estimations in the long range
Ioannis G. Kollas

Experimental study on flame temperatures of large scale hydrocarbon pool-fires
E. Planas-Cuchi, J.M. Chatris, J. Arnaldos, J. Casal & J. Quintela

Information resources for creation of risk cadastre
Valery Nekrasov & Michail Kukushkin

Experience of safety declaration for OAO gazprom gas transporting enterprises
G. Odisharia, V. Safonov, S. Ovtcharov & A. Shvyryajev

Procedures for risk analysis of pipeline networks
V. Cozzani, W. Folgheraiter & M. Carcassi

Problems on save of offshore Black Sea gas transport pipelines
V. Polyakov, T. Mitrofana, B. Kazakov, F. Ulmasvay, A. Muradov & D. Chashchikhin

Forecasting the disaster risk by probabilistic analysis of natural phenomena
V. Akimov, Y.L. Vorobiev, B.V. Potapov & N.N. Radaev

On the issue of environmental safety of gas mains in the OAO gazprom system
A.I. Gritsenko, Ye.B. Dedikov & G.S. Akopova

The forming of risk indices totality with hierarchical structure
F.M. Akhmedjanov, R.Z. Khamitov & I.I. Kovalenko

Posters related to Track 2; session 4

Are there accident-prone work environments?
Teresa Ribeiro

Consideration of many factors for risk management
V.M. Mordashev

Posters related to Track 2; session 5

The role of risk analysis in control of complex plants safety operation
M. Dumitrescu, I.A. Preda, R.E. Lazar & E. Carcadea

Industrial risk management in ecological insurance
Motkin Gennadiy

Improvement of risk analysis methods for evaluation of dangerous enterprises
D. Menshikov, A. Shvyryayev & V. Malygin

Accident reporting system devoted to small companies
F. Bressy, B. Debray & H. Londiche

Posters related to Track 3; session 2

A database on expertise in consumer products: enabling risk communication
José Javier Alba Sánchez

Modelling perceptions of risk for food related hazards
C.A. Pattison & Lynn J. Frewer

Cesar: environmental health risk perception within and between countries
H. Šlachtová, T. Fletcher, M. Avdicova, D. Ball, I. Farkas, K. Jones, D. Kolorova, E. Lebret, D. Minca,
F. Woudenberg & J.E. Zejda

Risk perception of endocrine disrupting chemicals in Japan
Atsuo Kishimoto, Koichi Ohno & Masashi Gamo

Risk communication on radiation contaminated territories
Irina A. Zykova, Guenrietta V. Arkhanguelskaia

Evaluation of the information initiatives addressed to the population potentially affected by the consequences of a chemical accident
L.Lauria, A. Bastone, R. Latella & C. Vollono

Radiation risk perception by the specialists, working in atomic energy and radioactive waste management
Guenrietta V. Arkhanguelskaia & Irina A. Zykova

Posters related to Track 3; session 3

Newspaper reporting of risks in the UK and Sweden
Gene Rowe, Lynn J. Frewer & Lennart Sjöberg

Audience-based communication - the illusion of group mental models?
Joerg Niewoehner & Simon Gerrard

Posters related to Track3; session 6

Transferring risk from public to workers: the exemplary case of spent nuclear fuel transport
M. Juanola & A. Depres

Icrod – an educational attempt of cross - boundaries in risk –communication between West and East
O.V. Schilova, E.F. Blokker, J.G. Droppo Jr., V. Eremenko, R. Iossifidy & P. Mallia

Posters related to Track 4; session 2

Ex ante risk evaluation in transport decision making
Frederique T.G. de Graaf

Decision making in exploration for oil and gas under uncertainty
A.N. Golodnikov, P.S. Knopov & V. A. Pepelyayev

Poster related to Track 4; session 3

Fragmentation, convergence and harmonisation: where are we going with integrated decision-making?
S. Pollard, A. Brookes, C. Twigger-Ross, J. Fisher & J. Irwin

Poster related to Track 4; session 4

Rexcalibr – integrated system for processing expert judgements
A.R. Yunusov, R.M. Cooke & V.G. Krymsky

Posters related to Track 4; session 5

Investigation of the influence of economic, financial, political and social factors on risk of social shocks
K. Atoyev

Transition in Russia of management technogenous and natural safety on risk based methodology. The simplified methods of the risk analysis necessary in the beginning of transition process
A.N. Protsenko & N.A. Protsenko

Computer support of acceptance of the ecological-economic decisions in the field of the risk analysis on the local level
Michael Kukushkin & Natalia Malevannaia

Political risk assessment in Ukraine: meeting the XXI century
Alcidia Moucheboeuf

Alternative mechanisms of major risk insurance: derived instruments in reinsurance
Fred Celimene & Myriam Landel

Poster related to Track 4; session 6

Development of mathematical models and software for ecological and technogenic safety control
V. Yanenko

Posters related to Track 5; session 1

Natural radioactivity in the marine environment in Croatia
Gordana Marovic, Zdenko Franic & Jasminka Sencar

The behaviour of the radionuclides 137cs and 90sr in the reservoir ecosystem of the far zone influence of the Chernobyl APS accident
O.D. Khvaley, P.I. Datskevich & F.D. Komissarov

Modeling the Caesium-137 air transfer from polluted territories
G.M. Zhmura, E.F. Konoplya & N.V. Zhmura

Posters related to Track 5; session 2

A case of irradiation a group of the workers of the nuclear power station by iridium source of defectoscope in 1998 (state and forecast)
B. Ledoschuk, M.D. Bobylova, N. Chaban, L. Procenko & N. Babkina

Risk analysis of depleted uranium following an aircraft crach
P.A.M. Uijt de Haag, R.C.G.M Smetsers, H. Witlox, H. Krüs & M. Eisenga

Determination of the risk factor progress of osteoporosis for the patients with acute radiation syndrome
Larisa Darchuk & V.G. Bebeshko

Posters related to Track 5; session 3

Efficiency of short term countermeasures in case of a severe nuclear accident: a dynamic point of view
F. Charpin & H. Mansoux

Self-rated risk of relocation
Irina Z. Zykova & Guenrietta V. Arkhanguelskaia

Lifestyles of people that live in the Chernobyl zone of nuclear pollution
Vitaly G. Panok

Creation of an international center of rehabilitation as a strategy of minimisation of the mutagenic risk for people, exposed to radiation
I.I. Suskov, A.I. Glouchtchenko, N.I. Vavilov & S. Shapiro

Posters related to Track 5; session 4

The spreading of liver diseases with respect to patient’s life and labour conditions: risk factors
Eduard R. Gubaidullin, Mazhit A. Nartailakov & Nagip M. Akhmerov

Health risk assessment in depend of antropogenic environmental contamination under equipment operating in Russia gas industry
G. Akopova, N. Vlasenko & L. Scharichina

A rat model for dose-response relations of enteric pathogens
A. Havelaar, J. Garssen, K. Takumi, J.B. Dufrenne, M. Koedam & J.G. Vos

Control of irrigation conditions to minimise the risk of crop yield losses
Georgy Finin

Forecasting and compensation of damage caused by forest fires in Siberia
V.V. Lesnykh, N.V. Abasov & T.V. Berezhnykh

The danger of the chemical weapon burial place in the Baltic sea
V. Malishev, E. Kozlov & A. Yelokhin

Posters related to Track 5; session 5

Evaluation and analysis of risks of death from radiation - induced cancer result in exposure after accident on Chernobyl NPP for different groups of an injured population
K. Shepelevich & I. Los

Radiation risks at low doses of exposure: lessons of Chernobyl
V.K. Ivanov & A.F. Tsyb

Comparison of cs-137 and sr-90 contents in surface, ground and underground waters of polluted areas of "near" and "distant" zones of Chernobyl trace with their content in soil-grounds
F.D. Komissarov, .I. Datskevich, O.D. Khvaley, L.P. Basharina & E.F. Bondareva

Results of the 10-years study of leukaemia in Chernobyl accident clean-up workers in Ukraine
B. Ledoschuk, N. Gudzenko, I. Gubina & N. Babkina

Chernobyl consequences in Belarus
M.V. Malko

Contamination of vegetation in Belarus by transuranium radionuclides due to Chernobyl NPP accident
V.P. Mironov, B.I. Yakushev, T.A. Budkevich, A.I. Zabolotny & V.P. Kudryashov 841

Risk of food consumption in the areas contaminated by the Chernobyl accident
V. Tarasov & L. Ageeva

Monitoring of radiation exposed people close to Mayak nuclear facility in the Chelyabinsk region, Russia using different biodosimetric methods
N.N. Ilinskikh, I.N. Ilinskikh, N.N. Sharirov, B.V. Smirnov & E.N. Ilinskikh

Risk assessments of fatal cancer associated with protracted exposure of population of Belarus after the Chernobyl accident
V.A. Knatko, A.G. Scomorokhov & A.E. Dolgaya

Modeling of medical risks of technogenic radiation catastrophes
Alexey Rogozin & Andrey Lagutin

Poster related to Track 5; session 6

Mental risk among children in Belarus exposed in utero following the Chernobyl accident
Sergey A. Igumnov & Vladimir V. Drozdovitch