Abstract of Meeting Paper

Society for Risk Analysis 2000 Annual Meeting

Risk Analysis in the Courts: A Roadmap for Risk Analysts. W. E. Wagner, University of Texas School of Law; and J. S. Applegate, Indiana University School of Law

This poster session, a continuation of posters presented in 1997 and 1998 by the Risk, Science, and Law Specialty Group, presents the settings in which courts, including juries, evaluate risk analyses. Judicial familiarity with risk concepts and judicial management of risk information is extremely varied. This poses a challenge to those who appear before courts as witnesses and as advocates and must persuasively communicate risk information. Past editions of the poster have catalogued cases in which risk information was evaluated by judges and juries. The latest edition will add analysis of the factors that have enhanced or detracted from the weight that the courts accord to risk information, and of some of the areas of judicial misunderstanding of risk analysis. In the past, courts have accorded both too little weight and too much weight to risk information, suggesting a failure to appreciate the strengths and limitations of risk analysis. This is an ongoing project of several members of the Risk, Science, and Law Specialty Group.


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