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Abstracts or Summaries from the 1996 Society for Risk Analysis-Europe Annual Meeting: Risk in a Modern Society -- Lessons from Europe (June 3-5, 1996)

 

NOTICE: The copyright for this publication (this set of abstracts/summaries) is held by the Centre for Environmental Strategy as agents for the University of Surrey and the Society for Risk Analysis-Europe. All inquiries concerning reproduction should be addressed to: The Centre for Environmental Strategy, University of Surrey, Guildford, Surrey GU2 5XH, UK, telephone (+44) 01483 259047, fax (+44) 01483 259394, e-mail j.libaert@surrey.ac.uk.

 

Introductions
Dr. Ray Kemp and Dr. Ragnar Löfstedt

Technical Committee and SRA Executive Committee

Financial Sponsors



Table of Contents

Air Pollution Damages and Costs: An Analysis of Uncertainties
A. Rabl

Analysis of the Risk of Introduction of Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome to Ireland, An
Richard O'Flaherty

Approach for Risk-Based Regulation and Risk Management of Nuclear Power Plants
H.P. Berg

Assessing and Controlling Risks from Workplace Exposure to Chemicals
M. D. Topping

Assessment of Financial Aspects of Risks Associated with Structures
S. M. Hockey and S. K. Liew

Assessment of Risk for the Transportation of Dangerous Goods
D.G. Leeming, S.A. Gadd, and T.N.K. Riley

Assessment of Risks of Transporting Wastes to the Swan Hills Treatment Centre of CHEM Security Alberta Ltd., The
J. H. Shortreed, F. F. Saccomanno, S. Ramsay, M. Hilbert, and S. Nassar

Attitudes to a Nuclear Waste Repository by Politicians and the Public
Lennart Sjöberg

Bench-Marking Safety? A Document for Discussion
Robert Miles

Can We Predict When People Take Risks: The Impact of Individuals' Mood States on Risk Taking
P. J. Clough, G.R.J. Hockey, and A.J. Maule

Channel Tunnel Safety Case: Quantitative Risk Assessment Methodology
T.A.W. Geyer, M.I. Morris, and R. M. Morris

Characterising Public Trade-Off Choices in the Context of Siting Hazardous Chemical Plant
P. T. Allen

Combining Air Pollution Epidemiology and Risk Perception and Communication in the CESAR Study
Erik Lebret, Tony Fletcher, Bert Brunekreef, and Alan Pinter

Combining Qualitative and Quantitative Research Methods in Risk Perceptions Research
Peter Simmons, Convenor; Lynn Frewer, Claire Marris, Nick Pidgeon, Lennart Sjöbert, and Peter Wiedemann, Panellists

Communicating Uncertainty in the Risk Society
Stephen Healy and John Handmer

Communication Nuclear Risks - The International Nuclear Event Scale (INES)
R.H. Taylor, S.J. Mortin, B. Thomas, and D. Ruatti

Comparing Ethylene Glycol (EG) and Propylene Glycol (PG) Using Toxicity As a Basis for Risk Management Decisions
E.A. McKenna, J.S. LaKind, D.F. Bodishbaugh, R.P. Hubner, A.H. Kim, D.F. Ludwig, G. Wright, B.S. Suedel, and R.G. Tardiff

Comparing the Health Benefits and Risks of Methyl-Tertiary-Butyl Ether (MTBE) in Reformulated Gasoline (RFG) and Winter Oxyfuels in the U.S.
R.G. Tardiff, S.R. Baker, J.S. LaKind, and E.J. Burger

Compartmental Models for Predicting the Level Listerial Contamination in a Damaged Silage Bale
L. A. Kelly, G. Gettinby, and G. Gibson

Cost-Effectiveness of Lifesaving Interventions in Sweden, The
A. L. Joakim, J. Ramsberg, and Lennart Sjöberg

Creating Images of Terrorist Risk and Security in Belfast and London
J. Coaffee

Critical/Double Technologies and Industrial Risk: Photon Technologies and New Risk Problems
Yuri S. Protasov

Customize Risk Communication Since the General Public Is Heterogeneous
Lars-Erik Warg, Kjell Andersson, Gunnar Ahlborg Jr., and Inger Fagerlund

Decision Support for Food Related Risks: Identification of Inference Rules and Key Risk Attributes Using Fuzzy Logic
David Waters and Peter Grindrod

Declaration of the Industrial Activity's Safety in Russia
A. N. Yelokhin, E. A. Kozlov, and A. N. Chernoplekov

Demand for Risk Reduction
Lennart Sjöberg

Determinants and Consequences of Perceived Risk (Plenary Speech)
Lennart Sjöberg

Developing Methods to Enhance the Organisational Management of Ambiguous Risks
Tom Horlick-Jones and Jonathan Rosenhead

Development of a Risk-Based Methodology for Improvement of Health Technologies: Pilot Application to Orthopaedic Surgery
D. Charles, A. Bardsley, P. Joice, I. D. Learmonth, and E. J. Smith

Digesting Risk: The Social Psychological Processes Influencing Risk Management of Food Hazards (Plenary Speech)
Glynis M. Breakwell

Does Science Have a Role in Risk Analysis? The Case of the Brent Spar and Other Cautionary Tales
A. L. Rice

Downside Risk and Fishing Quotas
Alistair Milne

Emergency Awareness in Planning
Karl G. Palmér

Empirical Evaluation of an Experimental Public Planning Jury, An
Louise O'Hara and Peter Allen

Epidemiological Equivocacy as a Source of Uncertainty in Risk Assessment
T. Sly

European Biotechnology Regulation: Contested Boundaries of Risk
Les Levidow, Susan Carr, and David Wield

Evaluating Risk Communication at a Nuclear Plant: A Defence of the Psychometric Approach
Terence Lee

Evaluating Uncertainty of Computing Methods in Estimating Consequences of Major Industrial Hazards
M. E. Soggiu, L. Lauria, and G. Marsili

Experiencing Uncertainty and Judging Risk
J. Richard Eiser

Feasibility Studies Methodology for Sustainable Development of Housing Industry in Romania
Cristian-Silviu Banacu

Fires in Chemical Plants - How to Reduce the Risks
P. van Donkelaar

Fossil or Nuclear Energy: A Comparison of Environmental Costs and Risks
Ari Rabl and Mona Dreicer

Future Role of Risk Assessment and Risk Management in Environmental Regulation, The (Keynote Speech)
David Slater

Genetic Risk Regulation Society and Ethics
Donald Bruce, John Eldridge, and Joyce Tait

Getting Local Acceptance: Siting a Spent Fuel Storage Facility in Hungary
A. Vari

Guidelines Are Wide Lines: France's Nuclear Waste Programme Assessed on the Facility Siting Guidelines
C.M. Mays and M. Poumadère

Hazards Analysis of LPG Pipeline Transportation
Dr. A. Yedigarov

Human and Organisational Factors in Offshore Safety
Kathryn Mearns, Rhona Flin, Rachael Gordon, and Mark Fleming

Identification of Critical Communication Factors from the Use of Communication Models in Failure Analysis, The
R. Stewart, J. Fortune, and G. Peters

Improving Passenger Safety at Platforms
T.A.W. Geyer, C.P. Chapman, M.I. Morris, and P.R. Chislett

Incorporating Accident Risk and Disruption in Economic Models of Public Transport
Andrew W. Evans and Alan D. Morrison

Increasing Risk by Avoiding Communication: Emergency Public Warnings
Jonathan D. Sime

Individual and Social Determinants of Attitudes Towards the Construction of a Waste Incinerator: Two Case Studies
M. L. Lima

Influencing Public Opinion - A Nuclear Issue
A. Sjölander

Innovation, Regulation and the Emergence of Regulatory Science: an Empirical and Theoretical Analysis
Alan Irwin, Elaine McCarthy, Henry Rothstein, and Steve Yearley

Insurance of Industrial Risks in Russia, The
A. N. Yelokhin and A. N. Chernoplekov

Integrated Approach to Risk Assessment in the Environmental Quality Control Within the Republic of Bashkortostan
V. E. Gvozdev, R. Z. Khamitov, S. V. Pavlov, and M. J. Polkanov

Integrated Knowledge of Organisation Influence on Plant Safety
M. Abramovici

Integrated Regional Risk Assessments: The case of radioactive contamination on the Kola peninsula
R. Bergman, A. Baklanov, and B. Segerståhl

Integrated Risk Management
T.A.W. Geyer and M.I. Morris

Large Scale Processing of Genetically Manipulated Organisms -- Assessing the Risks by Q.R.A. Methodology
Nigel J. Brace

Life After the Chernobyl Accident Experience of Swedish Hunter Families
Britt-Marie Drottz-Sjöberg, Göran Ågren, and Ann Enänder

Managing Risk in Welfare Agencies
A. Alaszewski, L. Harrison, J. Manthorpe, and M. Walsh

Many Faces of 'The Cultural Theory of Risk': An Anthropological Critique, The
Å. Boholm

Media Reporting of Radiation Risk in Europe
L.J. Frewer

Microbiological Risk Assessment of Meat: A Veterinary Perspective
Dr. Kathryn H. Christiansen

Mitigating Losses and Providing Protection Against Catastrophic Risks: The Role of Insurance and Other Policy Instruments (Plenary Speech)
Howard Kunreuther

Modelling Public Risk Perceptions for Lifestyle and Technological Hazards
C. Pattison, D. Hedderley, and L. J. Frewer

Monitoring Perceptions of Food Hazards Over Time: Some Measurement Issues
Chris Fife-Schaw and Gene Rowe

NA-Tech Risks from a Planner's Perspective
Scira Menoni

Nature Life Values and Products
Britt-Marie Drottz-Sjöberg

New Methods of Risk Assessment for Insurance Strategy: Ukrainian Case
Dr. Naoum Borodianskii

New Numerical Procedure for Calculating Societal Risk from Road Transport of Dangerous Substances, A
P. Leonelli and G. Spadoni

Novel Approach to Field Monitoring for Use in Risk Assessment: A Case Study on Organohalogen Formation from Domestic Hypochlorite Bleach, Involving Participation of a Small Community, A
F. Racioppi, D. Schowanek, E. Matthijs, R. Boyko, M. Gabba, A.Buschini, and G. P. Gardini

Nuclear Legacy of Russia: Aging of Professional Society As One of the Key Components of Risk Management
A F. Nechaev and V. V. Projaev

Optimised Regret Avoidance: Does It Matter What Policy-Makers Think About the Environment?
Peter Read

Options for Decision Makers--Recovery Actions After a Nuclear Accident
N. A. Higgins and K. A. Jones

Outcome of CEC Multinational Research on the Application of a Safety Attitude Questionnaire and Process Risk Management Audit (Prima) at Major Hazard Sites
N. W. Hurst

Outline of Industrial Risk Assessment Methods, An
R. Clark

Perceived Food Risk: Personal and General
Lennart Sjöberg

Perceived Risk from a Manmade Invisible Threat Compared to the Perceived Risk of Other Hazards, and Data Gathering Format When Studying Threat Perception
Arnfinn Tønnessen

Perceived Risks in France: Contribution to a European Cross-Cultural Perspective
C. M. Mays and J. Brenot

Perception of Risk Assessment and Risk Management Applications in the Former Soviet Union (FSU) and Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS): Recent Training Sessions in Risk Assessment
Robin D. Smith and Lawrence Houlden

Pesticide Concentration in the Environment at the Health Resorts in the South Part of Ukraine
N.P. Osokina, S.O. Mogilny, and T.G. Mogilnaja

Planning and Risk Management: A Study of Large Scale Complexes
Erik Wirén

Policy-making in Times of Conflict and Uncertainty
Jacquie Reilly and Jenny Kitzinger

Policy Process Towards Discursive Procedures on Assessing the Risks of Genetically Modified Organisms, The
René von Schomberg

Practical Study of Toxic Gas Emergency Blowout and Dispersion
Dr. A. Yedigarov, Prof. G. Odisharia, Dr. V. Safonov, and Dr. A. Shvyryaev

Preference Construction and Willingness to Pay for Reductions in Risk: A Case Study on Bathing Water Quality
Ian H. Langford, Stavros Georgiou, Ian J. Bateman, and Anné-Lise McDonald

Psychosomatic Technological Risk & Its Assessment and Management
J. Pop-Jordanov and N. Pop-Jordanova

Public Misperception of Hazard and Risk (Lunchtime Speech)
John D. Graham

Quality and Risk
Eduardas Davidavicius and Asta Cesuniene

Quantifying Risk and Anomalous Behaviour Within Monitoring and Investment Problems
Peter Grindrod and David Waters

Quantitative Risk Assessment of Chemicals: The Problem or the Panacea?
David P. Lovell and Gail Thomas

Radiation Risk: Risk Perception and Communication (RISKPERCOM)
Lennart Sjöberg

Radiological Risk Perception: Spanish Results of a Cross-Cultural Survey
Ana Prades, Rosario Martinez-Arias, Rosario Solá, and Ana Lena Cebrián

Reactions to Siting a Waste Facility in the Neighbourhood: A Study Among Neighbours of Waste Facilities in the Netherlands
Mirjam Galetzka

Reasons for Accepting and Rejecting Prospecting of a Nuclear Waste Repository - The Swedish Community of Storuman
Britt Marie Drottz-Sjöberg

Recent Developments in Major Accident Hazard Regulation in the European Union
Tom Horlick-Jones, Nick Pidgeon, Bruna De Marchi, and Ana Prades Lopez

Reflections on Risk Management at National Level, Considering Civilian Aspects of the Gulf War and the Balkan Wars
Christer Widgren

Responsibility and Research for a Wise Use of the Deep Ocean
Hjalmar Thiel

Results of a Study of Risk Perception in Six Central European Countries
T. Fletcher, K. Jones, D. Ball, F. Woudenberg, E. Lebret, and CESAR Principal Investigators' Team

Risk Analysis, Risk Assessment, Animal Health and International Trade
M. Wooldridge

Risk and Conflict: Policy and Practice in the Facilitation of Innovation
Joyce Tait

Risk and Incineration: The Public Context
J. Petts

Risk and Insurance of Transporting Dangerous Loads by the Railway in Russia
A. N. Yelokhin and A. N. Chernoplekov

Risk and Responsibility
Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer

Risk and Responsibility Under the European Framework Directive
B. N. Barrett

Risk Assessment Versus Risk Management in the Transport Industry
Nigel J. Brace and Julian Franey

Risk Communication in East Europe: Russia As an Example
S.M. Nikitin and K. Bruckmeier

Risk Management on the Territorial Level in Russia
E. A. Kozlov, A. N. Yelokhin, A. N. Chernoplekov, and A. A. Malyi

Risk Management Research Funded by the UK Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food: An Overview
J.E. Ince and C.E. Fisher

Risk Management Strategies for Urban Infrastructure
Professor Rae Zimmerman

Risk of Falling Ill with Cerebrovascular Diseases for People Being Exposed to the Influence of Ionized Radiation Under the Production Conditions, The
A.Y. Bushmanov, A.L. Merzlyakov, and K.F. Vasiliev

Risk of Pathogenic Survival Through Disinfection, The
Michael Wilson, Peter Johnson, Nick Sutherland, John Strutt, and Keith Allsop

Risk of Smoking As Perceived by Women Smokers
Daniela Kolarova

Risk Perceptions and Cultural Biases in Norfolk
C. Marris, T. O'Riordan, and I. Langford

Risk Perceptions and National Identity: Between East and West, the Case of Estonia
I. Prokhorova

Risk Prevention and Crisis Management: Learning from Experience
S. Gaultier-Gaillard

Risk, Ruin, and Luxury in Primitive Societies
U. Ulrich Müller-Herold and R. P. Sieferle

Risk Stories in the News -- Who Cares?
Olle Findahl

Risk Taking Versus Risk Aversion in Industrial Organisations: Some Contrasting Cases from Sweden
Ragnar Löfstedt and Tom Horlick-Jones

Risk, Time and the Discount Rate.
Tim Jackson

Risk: Too Limited a Concept for Effective Communication?
J. Petts

Risk, Trust and Loyalty: Putting Risk Perceptions in Their Place
Peter Simmons, Gordon Walker, Alan Irwin, and Brian Wynne

Risk, Trust and Political Process: Some Comments from Recent Social Theory
Gavan McDonell

Role of Emotion in Public Information on Environmental Risks and Pro-Environmental Behaviour
Anneloes Meijnders, Cees Midden, and Henk Wilke

Role of Procedural and Outcome Fairness in Siting Solid Waste Facilities in the Black Forest, The
0. Renn, S. Köberle, B. Oppermann, and R. Carius

Role of Risk Analysis in Onshore & Offshore Energy Insurance, The
D.J. Lloyd

Safety Risk Management System
J. M. Greben

Safety Status, Job Situation and Perceived Risk in Norwegian and UK Offshore Workers - A Comparative Study
Torbjørn Rundmo, Kathryn Mearns, Rhona Flin, Mark Fleming, and Rachael Gordon

Seismotectonic Boundary Work: A Case Study of Seismic Hazard Assessment in the Regulation of Nuclear Energy in Canada
K.-M. Nigge

Selecting and Using Indicators to Describe Risk
Philip C. R. Gray

Service by Wire: A Risk Analysis Model for Remote Maintenance and Repair
P. Anderson and S. Kowalski

Siting Conflicts: A Constructionist Approach
Catherine Zwetkoff

Social Management of the Risks of Modern Biotechnology
P. R. Wheale

Social Risk, Social Security, Social Fairness
L. MacKellar

Source Path Approach to Assessment of Risk
A.C. Scougall and W.J. Nimmo-Scott

Spatial Domains of Environmental Risk Perception
G.D. Gooch

Strategic Use of 'Risk' in Gene Technology: The European Rabies Eradication Programme
Ruth McNally

Study of Food Risk Perception and Its Relation to Purchasing Behaviour, A
F. Bolger, A. G. Sutcliffe, P. Ayton, and P. Sparks

Sustainable Development in Modern Societies: The Impact of the New German Waste Management Act on Entrepreneurial Environmental Risk Management
Dirk Matten

System Approach to Human Factors (HF) As One of the Main Sources of Potential Hazard from Nuclear Power Plants (NPP) for Population End Environment (10 years after accident on Chernobyl NPP)
O.V. Andreev, V.A. Eremenko, and V.F. Sharov

TEES Risk Management Project - New Challenges and Approaches, The
Ray Kemp, Peter Lisle, and David Salmon

Three Decades of Risk Research: Accomplishments and New Challenges (Opening Plenary Speech)
Ortwin Renn

Three Dimensions of Occupational Risk
Horst Rakel

Toxicity: Identification, Evaluation and Risk Reduction in Developing Countries to Achieve Chemical Safety
Mervyn L. Richardson

Transboundary Risk and Its Perception: What Can Be Learned from the Post-Normal Science Approach
N. Castells and J.R. Ravetz

Trust and Risk Communication on Food Issues
R. Shepherd, L.J. Frewer, and C. Howard

Uncertainty and Variability in Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Accidental Releases of Toxic Chemical
G. Marsili, L. Lauria, and M.E. Soggiu

Understanding Environmental Risk Perception in Poland: Theory and Practice
Piotr Matczak and Krzysztof S. Pachocki

Understanding Lay Perceptions of Dam-Related Risks
M.L. Lima and D. Silva

Understanding of Risk Perceptions Associated with Different Food-Processing Technologies -- A Case Study Using Conjoint Analysis
C. Howard, L. J. Frewer, and R. Shepherd

Understanding Why a Risk Is Feared: The Saliency of a Risk Message and the Motivation to Respond
R. Godfrey, S. Dunwoody, K. Bro, and M. Kanarek

Use of Dietary Intake Analysis in International Standard Setting, The
D. R. Tennant

Use of Semi-Quantitative Risk Estimation Techniques with Machinery, The
Nicola Worsell, Jill Wilday, and Tom Treble

Walking the Post-Normal Science of Risk Back Home to First Principles: Issues in Definition and Theoretical Method
Eugene A. Rosa

What Defines Public Attitudes to Genetic Engineering in Food Production?
L J. Frewer, C. Howard, and R. Shepherd

What Do Managers Worry About? Risk Perception and Culture in the UK Chemical Industry
Clive Smallman

Whose Risk? What Risk?
Mayer Hillman

Why Don't We Use More Probabilistic Models in Risk Management?
Jean-Pierre Galland

Young People's Understanding of Chemicals in Food
Richard Eiser, Christine Eiser, and Neil S. Coulson


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