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Risk Assessment & Risk Analysis Books
Higher Ground: Learning from the East Japan Tsunami and Meltdown at Fukushima NPS
by Shunji Murai; ISBN/EAN 978-90-806205-0-6
Shunji Murai, engineer and professor emeritus at the University of Tokyo, has written his book in two parts. The eleven chapters of part one summarize the stories of the May 13, 2011, earthquake and tsunami survivors, from which the author has extracted lessons to hand down "generation to generation in order to prevent such misery occurring again." Part two provides follow-up on and cites lessons from the accident at Fukushima Nuclear Power Station. In his preface to the book, the author concludes "Since Japan may fall victim to similar or even larger earthquakes and tsunamis over the coming hundred or thousand years, it should be our duty to avoid catastrophic risk as far as possible for our children’s children. I should like this book to be useful in preventing repetition of similar tragedy and misery."
Buy from Geomares Publishing
Hunting the American Tourist
by Terry D. Turchie and Dr. Kathleen M. Puckett; September 2007; ISBN-10 193390934X; ISBN-13 9781933909349
Terry D. Turchie, former unit director of the U.S. Federal Bureau of Investigation’s Counter-Terrorism Task Force, and Dr. Kathleen Puckett, the unit’s clinical psychologist and a founding member of the bureau's Behavioral Analysis Program, have written a book that deals with the inside operations of the FBI and its pursuit of the most notorious, elusive, and dangerous American terrorist in the annals of the FBI, Theodore Kaczynski, and the subsequent chase of Eric Rudolph, the Olympic bomber. The book begins after sixteen years of frustration by the FBI and its failure to capture Kaczynski using traditional means of forensic investigation. When Turchie and Puckett were brought in from counter-intelligence to develop a team to pursue Kaczynski, the old rules and traditions were put aside and new techniques of behavioral analysis were developed on the run that led to Kaczynski's capture two years later.
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Comparative Risk Assessment: Concepts, Problems and Applications
by Holger Schütz, Peter M. Wiedemann, Wilfried Hennings, Johannes Mertens, and Martin Clauberg; September 2006; ISBN 3527316671
All those who make risk-related decisions require sound knowledge on which to base their decisions, wherever possible including the best scientific knowledge available. Often, they are confronted by the need to make decisions in which they must allocate resources to one or more of several different problems, and are required to do so in the absence of any objective means of comparing the risks or the impact of their decisions. CRA offers a possible way of providing a scientific basis for such decisions.
This valuable contribution to the debate about CRA and its place in the total risk governance process provides a catalog of suggested solutions for different categories of issues, offering a balanced overview backed by methodological examples. It considers CRA in the USA, Europe and Germany, using case studies to analyze and exemplify the decision-making processes and challenges involved.
Following an introductory section, the authors go on to look at the concepts and definitions of risk, as well as the practical implementation of CRA. Along the way, they consider the empirical foundations of CRA and a conceptual framework for an integrated comparative risk evaluation. They also study the practical lessons learned from the case studies, together with an in-depth discussion of the underlying scientific hypotheses. The whole is rounded off with appendices covering risk metrics, MCRA, a comparative evaluation of unclear risks and the risks of hazardous incidents.
Sound scientific knowledge for everyone who makes decisions, whether government ministers, regulators, or company directors.
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Risk Analysis and the Security Survey, Third Edition
by James F. Broder; February 2006; ISBN 0750679220
Security and risk management are principally concerned with the protection and conservation of corporate assets and resources. The task of protection continues to be an increasingly complex one in a time when technology is creating new products (and thus risk) at an explosive rate. Add this to the crime rate -- now aggravated by domestic and international terrorism -- and the importance of risk analysis and evaluation to design proper protection becomes self-evident.

With an awareness of the growing threat of global terrorism, this third edition has been completely updated. It includes two new chapters covering disaster recover planning, mitigation, and the evolving methodologies that are a result of the Homeland Security Act. The following topics will also be added and covered among the various chapters: contingency planning, testing of disaster response plan, managing during a crisis, maintaining and testing a response plan (team drills, etc.), bomb threats and suicide bombings, and prevention techniques to better prepare business for new post 9/11 security risks.
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Tolley's Practical Risk Assessment Handbook, Fifth Edition
by Mike Bateman; August 2006; ISBN 0750669896
Risk assessment has become the backbone of Health and Safety management in the UK and elsewhere. Employers have a legal duty to prove that risk assessments have been carried out and precautions have been implemented as far as (reasonably) practicable.

Mike Bateman demystifies the risk assessment process and how it relates to UK legislation. He covers both the general techniques and the assessment of specific risks, such as hazardous substances (COSHH), noise, manual handling, DSE workstations, PPE, fire, asbestos and work at height. The book is designed to be user-friendly rather than overly legalistic or academic and tells the reader how to go about risk assessment, not just what the legislation requires. It contains numerous checklists, forms and worked examples for a variety of hazards and industries.
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The Social Contours of Risk (Volume 1): Publics, Risk Communication, and the Social Amplification of Risk (Risk, Society and Policy Series)
by Jeanne X. Kasperson and Roger E. Kasperson; Earthscan Publications (April 30, 2005); ISBN 1844070735 (paperback)
Social Contours of Risk brings together in two volumes the most important contributions of Jeanne and Roger Kasperson-- two of the world's leading and most influential analysts of the social dimensions of risk--to this fundamental and wide-ranging field. Volume One collects their fundamental work on how risks are communicated among different publics and stakeholders, including local communities, corporations, and the larger society. It analyzes the problems of lack of transparency and trust and explores how even minor effects can be amplified and distorted through media and social responses, preventing effective management.
Buy from Amazon (or buy both volumes in hardcover set)
The Social Contours of Risk (Volume 2): Risk Analysis, Corporations, and the Globalization of Risk (Risk, Society and Policy Series)
by Roger E. Kasperson; Earthscan Publications (April 2005); ISBN 1844071758 (paperback)
We live in a ‘risk society’ where the identification, distribution and management of risks, from new technology, environmental factors or other sources are crucial to our individual and social existence. In The Social Contours of Risk, Volumes I and II, two of the world’s leading and most influential analysts of the social dimensions of risk bring together their most important contributions to this fundamental and wide-ranging field.

Volume II centres on the analysis and management of risk in society, in international business and multinationals, and globally. The ‘acceptability’ of risk to an individual depends on the context, whether the larger society or in, for example, a corporate framework. Their work clarifies the structures and processes for managing risks in the private sector and the factors that produce or impede effective decisions. The authors demonstrate that corporate culture is crucial in determining risk management. They analyse the transfer of corporate risk management systems from industrial to developing countries, and how globalization is spreading and creating new kinds of risk – the combination of traditional and modern hazards presented by climate change, technology transfer and economic growth. They describe the new priorities and capacities needed to deal with these enhanced vulnerabilities around the globe.
Buy from Amazon (or buy both volumes in hardcover set)
Out of Gas: The End of the Age of Oil
by David Goodstein; W. W. Norton and Company (February 2005); ISBN 0393326470 (paperback)
California Institute of Technology vice provost and physicist David Goodstein explains the underlying scientific principles of the inevitable fossil fuel shortage we face and outlines the drastic effects that a fossil fuel shortage could bring down on us.
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Advanced Credit Risk Analysis: Financial Approaches and Mathematical Models to Assess
by Didier Cossin; November 2004; ISBN 0470852720
Credit Risk measurement and management has undergone revolutionary changes in the last few years, with both banks and investors having to look at and re-evaluate their approach to credit risk. This new edition will highlight the new areas of interest in credit risk analysis and will contain new or expanded chapters on credit derivatives, sovereign risk, portfolio management and optimisation, regulatory issues etc. It will also reflect the new developments in both theory and practice that have arisen since the first edition was published.
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Operational Risk Modelling and Analysis: Theory and Practice
by Marcelo Cruz, Editor; July 2004; ISBN 1904339344
As the definitive journey into operational risk, this new multi-contributor title will guide you with the identification, modelling, implementation, analysis and integration of operational risk into your overall risk management framework. It enables you to make more informed decisions on how to identify and avoid the potential risks as well as fully understand the acceptable risks on a cost-benefit basis.

Divided under three main sections (Database Modelling, Regulatory and Technical Issues; Risk Modelling and Measurement; and Case Studies of Implementation of Operational Risk Projects in Large Financial Institutions), the book:

  • highlights integral issues such as how to spot the links between indicators of operational risk and the potential losses;
  • examines the tensions inherent in the nature of operational risk at both quantitative and qualitative levels;
  • outlines the practical day-to-day issues and illustrates workable methodologies with examples, case studies and cutting-edge analysis;
  • provides an even mix of both the progressive and in-depth research taking place in academic institutions as well as the actual practical implementation issues; and
  • provides the tools to cope with differing and complex situations within operational risk.
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Regional-Scale Risk Assessment: The Relative Risk Approach
by Wayne G. Landis; July 2004; ISBN 1566706556
Addressing large-scale and comparative risks at the landscape level in an environment containing multiple stressors and receptors, this book focuses on assessments using the Relative Risk Model (RRM) pioneered at Western Washington University over the last seven years. Developed to meet the need for regional assessments with multiple stressors from diverse sources and numerous desired endpoints, the RRM is amenable to additional iterations as new information becomes available. The book includes case studies from the Pacific Northwest, Port Valdez, Pennsylvania, Brazil, and Tasmania.
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Risk Analysis and Society: An Interdisciplinary Characterization of the Field
by Timothy McDaniels and Mitchell Small (Editors); January 2004; ISBN 0521825563
This book provides an interdisciplinary and international characterization of the state of the art and science of risk analysis. Such an analysis is needed to ensure better management of choices concerning environmental, health and technology-based hazards that increasingly affect peoples' lives on an international scale. Including chapters by many of the world's leading risk researchers, this comprehensive work will provide insight into the scope of important social and technical issues that influence risks and their management.
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Risk Analysis in Theory and Practice 
by Jean-Paul Chavas; June 2004; ISBN 0121706214
Applied Risk Analysis explores the role of risk in resource allocation. It covers conceptual and empirical analyses of economic behavior under risk and the implications of risk for management and policy decisions. Special attention is given to the role of imperfect information in the decision-making process of private agents. The book also discusses the importance of risk in the design and evaluation of public institutions.
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Risk Modeling, Assessment and Management (2nd Edition)
by Yacov Y. Haimes; April 2004; ISBN 0471480487
This book is a holistic exploration of risk that attempts to balance the quantitative and empirical dimensions of risk assessment and management with the more qualitative and normative aspects of decision making under risk and uncertainty. The author shows how to quantify risk and construct probability in conjunction with real-world decision-making problems including institutional, organizational, political, and cultural considerations. He avoids higher mathematics whenever possible in his presentation of the material. It includes many case studies used to illustrate the analytical methods under discussion.
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Cultural Property Risk Analysis Model: Development & Application to Preventive Conservation at the Canadian Museum of Nature, Göteborg Studies in Conservation No.13
by R. Robert Waller; December 2003; ISBN 9173464759
In his dissertation for the doctor of philosophy degree from Göteborg University, Institute of Conservation, the author presents a cultural property risk analysis model he developed to guide priorities for resource allocation to preventive conservation under conditions of uncertainty. Preventive conservation seeks to minimize needless deterioration, damage, and loss to cultural property. This requires a comprehensive understanding of all hazards that might affect property and all values needing protection from those hazards. The past effects of hazards must be apprehended, the efficacy of current conservation practices must be calculated, and the predictability of future changes must be judged. Risks may manifest gradually or sporadically. In either case, the time scale over which risks to cultural properties must be considered is measured in centuries. Feedback on the consequences of preventive conservation decisions taken is too slow and too confounded to support meaningful experience-based learning. A risk-based approach to decision-making is necessary.
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Emerging Systemic Risks in the 21st Century: An Agenda for Action
published by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD); May 2003; ISBN 9264199470 (paperback)
With the host of large-scale disasters of various kinds throughout the world in recent years, it is not just the nature of major risks that seems to be changing but also the context in which they appear and society’s capacity to manage them. The International Futures Programme of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has produced a report that explores the implications of these developments for the economy and society in the 21st century, focusing in particular on the possibility of major systems becoming more vulnerable in the future. The threats of a single catastrophic event or chain of events that could severely damage vital systems among the health services, transport, energy, food and water supplies, information, and telecommunications sectors may come from a variety of sources, but the report concentrates on five large risk clusters: natural disasters, technological accidents, infectious diseases, terrorism related risks, and food safety. It examines the underlying forces driving changes in these domains and identifies the challenges facing OECD countries – especially at the international level – in assessing, preparing for, and responding to conventional and new hazards. It also sets out a number of recommendations for governments and the private sector as to how the management of emerging systemic risks might be improved, advocating a coherent approach to management and proposing policy tools for achieving that objective. Read more.
Buy from Amazon or from OECD
Guidelines for Process Hazards Analysis, (PHA,HAZOP) Hazards Identification, and Risk Analysis
by Nigel Hyatt; March 3, 2003; ISBN 0849319099
This manual is a comprehensive, easy-to-read overview of hazards analysis as it applies to the process and allied industries. The book begins by building a background in the technical definition of risk, past industrial incidents and their impacts, ensuing legislation, and the language and terms of the risk field. It addresses the different types of structured analytical techniques for conducting Process Hazards Analyses (PHA), provides a "What If" checklist, and shows how to organize and set up PHA sessions. Other topics include layout and siting considerations, human factors, loss of containment, and PHA team leadership issues.
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Managing Risk and Reliability of Process Plants
by Mark Tweeddale; July 2003; ISBN 0750677341
The many books on industrial health and safety mostly deal with toxic chemicals in the workplace and occupational safety. Managing Risk and Reliability of Process Plants, however, focuses on major hazards to safety and interruption of production due to plant or processing hazards and how to balance safety concerns with plant performance. This book will be a hands-on reference for the engineer and plant or project manager to make decisions affecting the safety and performance of their plant. The specific approaches to analyze, assess, reduce, and manage safety, reliability, and risks in process plants is covered in a way that will be useful in practice. Author Mark Tweeddale is with the University of Western Australia.
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Risk Analysis and Society: Interdisciplinary Perspectives
by Timothy McDaniels and Mitchell Small (Editors); November 2003; ISBN 0521825563
This book provides an interdisciplinary and international characterization of the state of the art and science of risk analysis. Such an analysis is needed to ensure better management of choices concerning environmental, health and technology-based hazards that increasingly affect peoples' lives on an international scale. Including chapters by many of the world's leading risk researchers, this comprehensive work will provide insight into the scope of important social and technical issues that influence risks and their management.
Buy from Amazon
Risk Analysis in Engineering and Economics
by Bilal M. Ayyub; June 2003; ISBN 1584883952
Written for engineers, policy makers, economists, and analysts as both a reference and a textbook, this book introduces the theoretical bases and applications of risk methods. It leads readers from the definition of needs through the conceptual foundations of risk analysis, its theory, and applications and finally to data requirements and sources. The author's approach involves a systems framework that accounts for uncertainties, and case studies that incorporate the techniques presented offer a practical perspective that helps readers clearly identify and solve problems encountered in practice.
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Elimination of Risk in Systems: Practical Principles for Eliminating and Reducing Risk in Complex Systems
by James Bradley, Ph.D.; March 2002; ISBN 0968750222
This title will be of interest to professionals in the areas of risk analysis, risk assessment, and risk management in a broad range of application areas, including engineering systems, computer systems, business, financial and investment systems, and even military systems and medicine. Written by a Calgary University professor who is a recognized expert in systems, this book proposes a new theory of risk and new risk principles, applicable to all systems, that lead naturally to methods of eliminating and reducing the risks in systems, while preserving the benefits of running those risks. The book demonstrates a unity of principle in a diversity of systems phenomena. More information is available from Tharsis Books.
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Handbook on Animal Import Risk Analysis
by Noel Murray, New Zealand Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry’s Biosecurity Authority; May 2002; ISBN 040478076606
This first handbook of its kind on how to carry out risk analyses for animals and animal products traded internationally distills into 188 pages the practices and procedures that have evolved over a number of years in the Animal Biosecurity's Risk Analysis team of the New Zealand Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry. The book addresses what has been a significant knowledge gap for those responsible for applying scientific analyses to risk in international trade. More information about the book and how to order it is available on line from MAF.
Heuristics and Biases: The Psychology of Intuitive Judgment
edited by Thomas Gilovich, Dale Griffin, and Daniel Kahneman; July 2002; Cambridge University Press; ISBN 0521792606 (hardcover) or 0521796792 (paperback)
Judgment pervades human experience. Do I have a strong enough case to go to trial? Will the Fed change interest rates? Can I trust this person? This book examines how people answer such questions. How do people cope with the complexities of the world economy, the uncertain behavior of friends and adversaries, or their own changing tastes and personalities? When are people's judgments prone to bias, and what is responsible for their biases? This book compiles psychologists' best attempts to answer these important questions.
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Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: Theory and Practice
by Dennis J. Paustenbach; May 2002; John Wiley & Sons Inc.; ISBN 0471147478
Fifty authorities from 15 different fields have contributed to this comprehensive reference and textbook on risk assessment, which includes two dozen case studies of environmental or human health risk assessments. Also see first edition released in February 2001.
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Probability, Statistics, and Reliability for Engineers and Scientists (Second Edition)
by Bilal M. Ayyub, Richard H. McCuen; June 2002 (second edition); CRC Press; ISBN 1584882867
First published in 1997, this book has become a popular reference and textbook for engineers and scientists that introduces probability, statistics, reliability, and risk methods from a practical perspective, with an ideal balance of theory and applications.
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Why Decisions Fail
by Paul C. Nutt; July 2002; Berrett-Koehler Publishers; ISBN 1576751503
A University of Ohio management sciences professor draws on his 20-year study of 400 decisions to offer lessons about what works in decision making, what doesn’t, and why. He tells the stories behind 15 famous debacles, including EuroDisney, Barings Bank, Ford Pinto, the Waco siege, and the Challenger tragedy; shows how to avoid the most common blunders and traps that lead to disaster in decision making; and deals with decisions that managers confront daily. Read the news release.
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The Coldest March: Scott`s Fatal Antarctic Expedition
by Susan Solomon; September 2001; ISBN 0300089678
The icy deaths of Robert Falcon Scott and his companions on their return from the South Pole in 1912 made them English icons of courage and sacrifice. Soon, however, Scott's judgments and decisions were questioned, and his reputation became one of inept bungler rather than heroic pioneer. Susan Solomon, senior scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in Colorado, approaches Scott's story from a meteorologist's point of view. She shows that the three weeks from February 27 to March 19, during which the explorers fell further and further behind the daily distances they had to cover in order to survive, were far colder than normal. Unusual blizzards of wet snow had already slowed the party and depleted their provisions and strength. Without these once-in-a-decade phenomena, Solomon believes the party would have returned to its base on the Ross Sea--second after Roald Amundsen in the race to the Pole, but safely. She opens each chapter with comments from a hypothetical modern visitor to Antarctica, presumably to give a wider context to the human drama of the last century, though this reviewer finds them inappropriate. She enriches her narratives of Scott's two Antarctic expeditions with vintage photographs and tables of meteorological data that highlight the explorers' achievements. Their determination was pitted against the worst weather in the world. Scott's story has been told many times before, but its weather information makes The Coldest March a useful addition to the literature.--John Stevenson of Amazon.com
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Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: Theory and Practice
by Dennis J. Paustenbach; February 2001 (first edition); John Wiley & Sons Inc.; ISBN 0471147478
Authorities from several fields have contributed to this comprehensive reference and textbook on risk assessment, which includes case studies of environmental or human health risk assessments. Also see edition released in May 2002.
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Information Security Risk Analysis
by Thomas R. Peltier; January 2001; ISBN 0849308801
Risk is a cost of doing business. The question is, "What are the risks, and what are their costs?" Knowing the vulnerabilities and threats that face your organization's information and systems is the first essential step in risk management. Information Security Risk Analysis shows you how to use cost-effective risk analysis techniques to identify and quantify the threats--both accidental and purposeful--that your organization faces. The book steps you through the qualitative risk analysis process using techniques such as PARA (Practical Application of Risk Analysis) and FRAP (Facilitated Risk Analysis Process). This book will show you how shows you how to determine cost effective solutions for your organization's information technology. 
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Practical Guide to Understanding, Managing and Reviewing Risk Assessment Reports, A
edited by David A. Belluck and Sally L. Benjamin; February 2001; Lewis Publishers, Inc.; ISBN 1566704480
This book provides a strategy for developing the elements of risk assessment into a readable and beneficial report.
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Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Foundations and Methods
by Tim Bedford and Roger Cooke; May 2001; ISBN 0521773202
Discusses the fundamental notion of uncertainty in probabilistic risk analysis, making clear the limits to the quantification of uncertainty. Focuses on the conceptual and mathematical applications of risk analysis, drawing from theory and applications of the discipline and covering a number of standard and novel topics.
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Risk Analysis: Foundations, Models and Methods
by Louis A. Cox; Kluwer Academic Publishers; December 2001; ISBN 0792376153
Risk analysis provides the methods and principles for answering the questions of "What is health risk analysis" and "How can its potentialities be developed to be most valuable to public health decision-makers and other health risk managers," which are addressed in this book. The author, who is president of Cox Associates, Denver, and adjunct professor of mathematics at the University of Colorado, drew from his lectures at the university and 20 years of experience in applied risk analysis to write this book, which is volume 45 of the International Series in Operations Research & Management Science. The contents include: Introduction and Basic Risk Models; Risk Assessment Modeling; Statistical Risk Modeling; Causality; Individual Risk Management Decisions; Choosing Among Risk Profiles; Multi-Attribute, Multi-Person, and Multi-Period Risks; and Multi-Party Risk Management Decision Processes.
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Risk Analysis in Forest Management (Managing Forest Ecosystems, V. 2)
edited by Klaus Von Gadow; May 2001; ISBN 0792369009
Due to the long-term planning horizons and the great variety of natural, economic, and operational hazards affecting forest ecosystems, uncertainty and multiple risk are typical aspects of forest management. Applications of risk analysis are surprisingly rare, in spite of the rich assortment of sophisticated forest planning tools that are available today. The objective of this particular volume is to present state-of-the-art research results, concepts, and techniques regarding the assessment and evaluation of natural hazards and the analysis of risk and uncertainty relating to forest management. Various aspects of risk analysis are covered, including examples of specific modelling tools. The book is divided into three sections covering ecological perspectives, applications in engineering and planning, and methods applicable to economics and policy.
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Risk, Uncertainty and Rational Action
by Carlo C. Jaeger, Ortwin Renn, Eugene A. Rosa, and Thomas Webler; 2001; ISBN 1853837628
Risk as we now know it is a wholly new phenomenon, the by-product of our ever more complex and powerful technologies. In business, policy making, and in everyday life, it demands a new way of looking at technological and environmental uncertainty. In this definitive volume, four of the world’s leading risk researchers present a fundamental critique of the prevailing approaches to understanding and managing risk – the ‘rational actor paradigm’. They show how risk studies must incorporate the competing interests, values, and rationalities of those involved and find a balance of trust and acceptable risk. Their work points to a comprehensive and significant new theory of risk and uncertainty and of the decision making process they require. The implications for social, political, and environmental theory and practice are enormous.
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Transboundary Risk Management
Ragnar E. Löfstedt, Joanne Linnerooth-Bayer, and Gunner Sjöstedt, Editors; April 2001; ISBN 1853835374
Environmental hazards do not respect international boundaries. In this volume, distinguished international researchers make a significant contribution to the understanding and management of transboundary environmental risks.

Numerous case studies of transboundary risks and the issues they raise are analysed. They include:

  • Nuclear power plants
  • Genetically modified crops
  • Bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE)
  • Air pollution
  • Dams
  • Risk communication
  • Public participation
  • International negotiation

The transboundary risk topics addressed highlight the key political, economic, social and cultural issues of our times, such as how transboundary risks are constructed, how they are communicated within and between countries, how the authorities can build trust in political management processes, and what forms of democratic risk management institutions are appropriate.

Useful practical lessons on the management of transboundary risk at the national and international levels are drawn from the case studies. The volume provides valuable evidence and analysis for those working on international environmental issues and all aspects of risk management.

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Biostatistical Methods: The Assessment of Relative Risks
by John M. Lachin; John Wiley & Sons; March 2000; ISBN 0471369969

Focusing on the assessment of risks and relative risks on the basis of clinical investigations, this book is supplemented with helpful graphs, charts, and tables as well as references to its web site for larger data sets and exercises.  Comprehensive coverage of classical and modern methods of biostatistics is provided as the book develops basic concepts and derives biostatistical methods through both the application of classical mathematical statistical tools and more modern likelihood-based theories.

The first half of the book presents methods for the analysis of single and multiple 2x2 tables for cross-sectional, prospective, and retrospective (case-control) sampling, with and without matching using fixed and two-stage random effects models. The text then moves on to present a more modern model-based approach, which includes unconditional and conditional logistic regression; the analysis of count data and the Poisson regression model; and the analysis of event time data, including the proportional hazards and multiplicative intensity models. The book contains a technical appendix that presents the core mathematical statistical theory used for the development of classical and modern statistical methods.

Written by John M. Lachin (professor of statistics and biostatistics at the George Washington University in Washington, D.C., and director of the Biostatistics Center in Rockville, Maryland), the book is considered to be an excellent guide for graduate-level students in biostatistics and an invaluable reference for biostatisticians, applied statisticians, and epidemiologists.

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Ecological Risk Assessment of Contaminated Sites
by Glenn W. Suter, II, Rebecca A. Efroymson, Bradley E. Sample, and Daniel S. Jones; May 2000; ISBN 1566705258
This book focuses on how to perform ecological risk assessments for Superfund sites and other locations contaminated by improper disposal of wastes or chemical spills. Integrates the authors extensive skills in assessing ecological risks at U.S. government sites with techniques and examples from assessments performed by other experts. DLC: Ecological risk assessment. 
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Foresight and Precaution
Proceedings of ESREL 2000, SARS, and SRA-Europe Annual Conference, Edinburgh, UK, 14-17 May 2000
by M. P. Cottam, D. W. Harvey, R. P. Pape, and J. Tait, editors; July 2000; ISBN 9058091406
This collection of 228 papers provides a reference for recent developments in risk analysis, safety and reliability engineering, and the societal factors affecting their use. The topics covered include risk communication, stakeholder involvement and democratic principles, health risks, risk criteria, structural reliability, data collection and use, human factors, human factors in reliability, organisational aspects of safety management, environmental related risks, food related risks, offshore oil and gas production, disaster risk and insurance, nuclear risks, genetically modified crops and food, natural hazards, and transport- and aerospace-related risks. 
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Guidelines for Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis
October 2000; ISBN 081690720X 
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Introduction to Risk Analysis: A Systematic Approach to Science-Based Decision Making
by Daniel M. Byrd III and C. Richard Cothern; August 2000; Government Institutes Division, ABS Group Inc.; ISBN: 0-86587-696-7
This textbook provides safety and loss-control, environmental, and quality managers with an introduction to risk analysis from a regulatory perspective. Click here for more information.
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Making Better Environmental Decisions: An Alternative to Risk Assessment
by Mary O'Brien; January 2000; ISBN 0262150514
For the past quarter-century, government and the private sector have relied heavily on risk assessment for making decisions, allowing widespread environmental deterioration. This book recommends a simple yet profound shift to another decision-making technique: "alternatives assessment." Instead of asking how much of a hazardous activity is safe (which translates into how much damage the environment can tolerate), alternatives assessment asks how we can avoid or minimize damage while achieving society's goals. 

Alternatives assessment is a simple, commonsense alternative to risk assessment. It is based on the premise that it is not acceptable to damage human and nonhuman health or the environment if there are reasonable alternatives. The approach calls for taking precautionary measures even if some cause-and-effect relationships have not been fully established scientifically. The process must involve an  examination of the full range of alternatives, including no action at all. Equally important, it must be democratic and include potentially affected parties. The book makes a persuasive case for alternative assessment and tells how to implement it. It also shows how this technique has profound implications for public health, for our stewardship of the environment, and for a truly democratic government. 
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The Perception of Risk (Risk, Society and Policy Series)
by Paul Slovic; October 2000; ISBN 1853835277
The concept of risk is an outgrowth of our society’s great concern about coping with the dangers of modern life. The Perception of Risk brings together the work of Paul Slovic, one of the world’s leading analysts of risk, risk perception and risk management, to examine the gap between expert views of risk and public perceptions. Ordered chronologically, it allows the reader to see the evolution of our understanding of such perceptions, from early studies identifying public misconceptions of risk to recent work that recognizes the importance and legitimacy of equity, trust, power and other value-laden issues underlying public concern.

New methods for assessing perceptions of risk are described, and the implications for regulation and public policy are discussed. In a new departure, the perceptions of adolescents are also examined. The issues covered include:

  • Societal risk taking
  • Decision-making in mental health law
  • Rating risks
  • Facts versus fears
  • Informing and educating the public about risk
  • Intuitive toxicology
  • Perceived risks and the politics of nuclear waste
  • Perceived risk, trust and democracy
  • Technological stigma.

This is an essential guide for everyone with an interest in the public perception of risk, including lawyers, policy makers, the business community and academics from the fields of public health and environment, psychology, economics, sociology, anthropology and political science.

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Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide
by David Vose; December 2000; John Wiley & Sons; ISBN: 0-47199-765-X
This book provides the basic information necessary for a simple risk analysis model as well as in-depth modelling techniques for more complicated problems. It concentrates on the accuracy of risk modelling rather than the management of risk analysis, and provides a comprehensive guide to the modelling of uncertainty using spreadsheets and Monte Carlo software on standard PCs. It also includes sufficient probability and statistics theory for concise risk analysis. The aim of this book is to guide the reader through the necessary steps to producing an accurate risk analysis model. It covers probability theory and statistics, probability distributions, and offers various techniques for modeling dependencies and the effect they have on results of a risk analysis.
Buy from Amazon or buy from John Wiley & Sons at gfarrell@wiley.co.uk 
Risk and Sociocultural Theory: New Directions and Perspectives
by Deborah Lupton and Margaret J. Osler, Editors; June 2000; ISBN 0521642078
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Risk Revisited (Anthropology, Culture and Society Series)
by Patricia Caplan, Editor; April 2000; ISBN 0745314686
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Statistical Methods for Earthquake Hazard Assessment and Risk Analysis
by G. R. Dargahi-Noubary and Reza Noubary; November 2000; ISBN 1560727705 
This book is devoted to description of some statistical theories and methods and discussion of their relevance to hazard assessment of natural disasters in general and earthquakes in particular. Except for introductory material, different chapters of the book are made independent from each other whenever possible. This is done in the expense of covering the same material in several places. In doing so the goal was to make it easier for readers who seek to learn and apply a particular method. Also to facilitize this, theories utilized are described in detail in the corresponding chapters. 
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Occupational Health: Risk Assessment and Management
edited by Steven S. Sadhra and Krishna G. Rampal; 1999; ISBN 0632041994
This book provides health and safety managers, physicians, industrial hygienists, and occupational health nurses with both the theory and the practical information they need to practice risk assessment and management in the workplace.
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Probabilistic Techniques in Exposure Assessment: A Handbook for Dealing with Variability and Uncertainty in Models and Inputs
by Alison C. Cullen and H. Christopher Frey;1999; ISBN: 0-306-45957-4
At this time when regulatory agencies are accepting and actively encouraging probabilistic approaches and the attribution of overall uncertainty among inputs to support Value of Information analyses, a comprehensive sourcebook on methods for addressing variability and uncertainty in exposure analysis is sorely needed. This need is adroitly met in Probabilistic Techniques in Exposure Assessment. A host of expert contributors provide a straightforward introduction to the practical tools for addressing variability and uncertainty in support of environmental and human health decision making. 151 graphs, plots, charts, and figures supplement a broad range of detailed and practical examples.
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Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment
by Charles N. Haas, Joan B. Rose, Charles P. Gerba; May 1999; ISBN 0471183970
The first complete guide to the quantitative assessment of risks to humans posed by infectious agents in all environmental media. Recent highly-publicized infectious disease outbreaks in the United States and abroad have engendered mounting political pressure to require the use of quantitative techniques in the assessment of the risks of human exposure to an array of microorganisms. While traditional indicator methods for pathogen assessment and control have always left much to be desired, it is only with the advent of modern microbial methods that it is now possible to establish rigorous testing protocols for infectious agents comparable to those in place for chemical agents and other contaminants. A book whose time has come, Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment equips environmental and public health professionals with the knowledge and skills they need to comply with the rapidly growing demand for quantitative risk testing of infectious agents. Authored by an interdisciplinary team of experts from the fields of environmental engineering, marine science, and soil and water science, this is the first comprehensive guide to state-of-the-art quantitative microbial risk assessment methods. It provides you with: *
Exhaustive coverage of potential infectious agents and their modes of transmission. * Systematic presentations of quantitative risk, hazard, and exposure assessment techniques. * Numerous worked examples throughout the book. * Fascinating case studies illustrating the application of quantitative methods to various situations. Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment is an important working resource for professionals in the fields of environmental health, environmental engineering, public health, and microbiology. It is also an excellent graduate-level text for students of those disciplines. CHARLES N. HAAS, PhD, is L. D. Betz Professor of Environmental Engineering in the School of Environmental Science, Engineering and Policy at Drexel University in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. JOAN B. ROSE, PhD, is Professor in the Department of Marine Science at the University of South Florida in St. Petersburg. CHARLES P. GERBA, PhD, is Professor in the Department of Soil and Water Science at the University of Arizona in Tucson. 
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Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry: A Practical Guide
by Glenn Koller; March 1999; ISBN 0849302684
This book presents an accessible treatment of the procedures and technologies involved in designing and building risk-assessment processes and models.
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Risk-Based Environmental Decisions: Culture and Methods
by Douglas J. Crawford-Brown; September 1999; ISBN 0792386248
Risk-Based Environmental Decision: Methods and Culture presents the principles of human health risk analysis as they are applied in environmental decisions. It balances the discussion of scientific theory and methods, philosophical analysis, and applications in regulatory decisions. The material is directed towards risk analysts who must apply their skills in a policy setting, and towards policy analysts who must use risk estimates. The presentation is suited ideally as an introductory text on the methods of risk analysis and on the cultural issues that underlie these methodologies.   An important feature of Risk-Based Environmental Decision: Methods and Culture is that it is designed around a series of detailed case studies of environmental risk analysis which walk the reader from the historical nature of the problem, to the formulation as a risk-based problem, to the conduct of risk analysis, and on to the application, debate, and defense of the risk analysis. 
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Risk in the Modern Age: Social Theory, Science, and Environmental Decision-Making
edited by Maurie J. Cohen; October 1999; ISBN 0312222165
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Should We Risk It?: Exploring Environmental, Health, and Technological Problem Solving
by Daniel M. Kammen, David M. Hassenzahl; June 1999; ISBN 0691004269
This book received high praise from well-known experts in the risk community (follow the link below to visit Amazon's web page on this book to read these reviews and also visit the author's web site at http://www.berkeley.edu/erg/swri and http://www.wws.princeton.edu:80/~step/swri) and was called a "must-read" for both risk students and professionals.

From the publisher: How dangerous is smoking? What are the risks of nuclear power or of climate change? What are the chances of dying on an airplane? More importantly, how do we use this information once we have it? The demand for risk analysts who are able to answer such questions has grown exponentially in recent years. Yet programs to train these analysts have not kept pace. In this book, Daniel Kammen and David Hassenzahl address that problem. They draw together, organize, and seek to unify previously disparate theories and methodologies connected with risk analysis for health, environmental, and technological problems. They also provide a rich variety of case studies and worked problems, meeting the growing need for an up-to-date book suitable for teaching and individual learning. 

About the Author: Daniel Kammen is Associate Professor of Energy and Society in the Energy and Resources Group at the University of California, Berkeley. He has received a number of international awards for his work on renewable energy and development and for his work on risk analysis and forecasting. David Hassenzahl is a graduate student in the Science, Technology, and Environmental Policy Program at the Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton University, where his research is focused on the role of risk analysis in policy making. He has been an environmental risk professional in both the public and private sectors. 

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Ecological Risk Assessment: Federal Guidelines
by U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; April 1998; ISBN 0865876932
This manual describes and examines the three phases of risk assessment -- problem formulation, analysis, and risk characterization -- and the processes within each.
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Risk Analysis
edited by J. L. Rubio, C. A. Brebbia, J.-L. Uso; September 1998; ISBN 1853126047
This book contains the proceedings of the First International Conference on Computer Simulation in Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation, which was held in Valencia, Spain, October 8-8, 1998. The Papers in the proceedings came from experts from around the world and covered latest research into computational methods. The book shows how the quantification and simulation of the effects of hazards is achieving greater scope and accuracy. 
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The Earthscan Reader in Risk & Modern Society
edited by Ragnar E. Löfstedt and Lynn Frewer; October 1997; ISBN 1853835048
More and more social, political and environmental questions turn on the risks involved. Identifying, assessing and managing risks is correspondingly increasingly important for many professionals, for policy makers and for students and researchers in social and environmental sciences. This volume brings together seminal contributions on risk analysis, accompanied by an extensive editorial introduction laying out the issues for different areas of risk research and a framework for interpreting them. It will be an essential sourcebook for all those working in the area.
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Risks and Realities: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Vulnerability of Lifelines to Natural Hazards
Project Manager: John Lamb; November 1997; ISBN 0-908993-12-9
This book describes the work of the Christchurch (New Zealand) Engineering Lifelines Group extending over several years. The publication describes an all hazards approach and has taken a range of natural hazards, using the city of Christchurch as a case study, and estimates the return period and annual possibility of exceedence for a number of disaster scenarios considered in the project and their impact on lifelines within the city.

The information in this book concentrates on the impact and response to natural hazards in Christchurch, but the methodology employed is applicable to any city or community virtually anywhere. The project has been described by a leading international reviewer as a 'model for other projects to follow'.

by John Adams; 1995; UCL Press; ISBN: 1857280679
This classic text by a University College London geography professor explores the cultural and social factors that determine or influence people's sense of acceptable risk, also known as Risk Compensation Theory. The theme is based on the observation that safety practices such as seat belts and bicycle helmets generally encourage people to take more chances to maintain their acceptable level of risk. Adams' publications also include Risk and Freedom: The Record of Road Safety Regulation (1985, Transport Publishing Projects).
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